Hope Island weather
Loading live data…Cloudy,cooler tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Hope Island's high today between 31° and 36°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 24°, with a 6% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Hope Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitHope Island is a small town of about 11,000 people in Queensland, sitting at 27.9°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Hope Island with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Coomera, Oxenford, Paradise Point.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Which forecast is most accurate in Hope Island?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.