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CheckWeather AU›Hope Island
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Hope Island weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Hope Island today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain.

24°18°
24°19°
31°20°
27°18°
27°19°
24°18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Rain
Today 25°·Low 18°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Heavy drizzle
Today 23°·Low 17°·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Thunderstorm
Today 24°·Low 20°·Rain 95%
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Hope Island weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hope Island swings 18°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 10°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1305 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
February
1305 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hope Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hope Island hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hope Island 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
24° 18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
24° 19°
models agree
Mon
Thunderstorm
31° 20°
±2°
Tue
Drizzle
27° 18°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
27° 19°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
24° 18°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
26° 18°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
30° 17°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 16°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 17°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
29° 17°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 18°
±3°

Hope Island, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 1305 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Hope Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Hope Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
21°
Feb
27°
20°
Mar
26°
19°
Apr
24°
16°
May
22°
13°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
19°
10°
Aug
20°
11°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
25°
15°
Nov
25°
18°
Dec
28°
20°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Hope Island has changed since 1995

Hope Island sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Gold Coast. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Gold Coast page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Hope Island?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C96±2.2 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C96±1.8 km/h5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
67±1.8°C95±2.4 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 25°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 25°±17%83% to 100% chance
Mon±2°30° to 32°±6%63% to 69% chance
Tue±3°25° to 28°±48%9% to 57% chance
Wed±5°24° to 29°±29%19% to 48% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hope Island

today, local time
Sunrise
05:02
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hope Island today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Hope Island today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Hope Island today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Hope Island on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 83% (European 100%, American 91%, German 83%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hope Island?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hope Island (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hope Island?
January is typically the warmest month in Hope Island, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Hope Island get?
The coldest month in Hope Island is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Hope Island get?
Hope Island sees roughly 1305 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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