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CheckWeather AU›Upper Coomera
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Upper Coomera weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Upper Coomera today. Tomorrow: rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain.

24°18°
24°19°
31°19°
27°18°
26°18°
24°17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 22° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Drizzle
Feels 21° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 97%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 95%

Latest for Upper Coomera: European (ECMWF): 20° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 20° Light rain.

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Upper Coomera weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Upper Coomera swings 20°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 9°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1380 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
June
9°C average low
Wettest month
February
1380 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
25,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Upper Coomera and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Upper Coomera hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Upper Coomera 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
24° 18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
24° 19°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
31° 19°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
27° 18°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 18°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
24° 17°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
30° 16°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 16°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
28° 16°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
25° 17°
±4°

Upper Coomera, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1380 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Upper Coomera right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Upper Coomera climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
20°
Feb
28°
19°
Mar
27°
19°
Apr
24°
15°
May
22°
12°
Jun
20°
9°
Jul
19°
9°
Aug
20°
10°
Sep
24°
12°
Oct
25°
14°
Nov
26°
17°
Dec
29°
19°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Upper Coomera has changed since 1995

Upper Coomera sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Gold Coast. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Gold Coast page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Upper Coomera?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C97±1.5 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
74
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.3 km/h4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
68
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C94±2.9 km/h4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 25°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±6%94% to 100% chance
Mon±3°29° to 32°±16%58% to 74% chance
Tue±2°26° to 28°±50%13% to 63% chance
Wed±4°24° to 28°±30%18% to 48% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Upper Coomera

today, local time
Sunrise
05:02
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Upper Coomera today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Upper Coomera today. Tomorrow: rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Upper Coomera today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Upper Coomera on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 94% (European 100%, American 94%, German 95%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Upper Coomera?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Upper Coomera (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Upper Coomera?
January is typically the warmest month in Upper Coomera, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Upper Coomera get?
The coldest month in Upper Coomera is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Upper Coomera get?
Upper Coomera sees roughly 1380 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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