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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Arundel weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Arundel's high today between 23° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain.

24°18°
24°19°
31°20°
26°18°
26°18°
23°18°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 22° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Feels 21° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 98%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 91%

Latest for Arundel: European (ECMWF): 20° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 21° Light rain.

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Arundel weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Arundel swings 18°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 10°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1412 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
February
1412 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Arundel and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Arundel hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Arundel 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
24° 18°
±3°
Tomorrow
Rain
24° 19°
±2°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
31° 20°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
26° 18°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 18°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
23° 18°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
30° 17°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 16°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
30° 17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 17°
±3°

Arundel, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 1412 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Arundel right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Arundel climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
21°
Feb
27°
20°
Mar
27°
19°
Apr
24°
16°
May
22°
13°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
19°
10°
Aug
20°
10°
Sep
24°
13°
Oct
25°
15°
Nov
26°
17°
Dec
28°
19°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Arundel has changed since 1995

Arundel sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Gold Coast. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Gold Coast page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Arundel?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
85±0.9°C96±1.8 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
74
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.5 km/h4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
69±1.7°C95±2.6 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°23° to 25°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±15%85% to 100% chance
Mon±2°30° to 32°±24%50% to 74% chance
Tue±4°24° to 28°±50%13% to 63% chance
Wed±5°23° to 28°±32%16% to 48% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Arundel

today, local time
Sunrise
05:02
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Arundel today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Arundel's high today between 23° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Arundel today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Arundel on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 85% (European 100%, American 94%, German 85%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Arundel?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Arundel (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the German at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Arundel?
January is typically the warmest month in Arundel, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Arundel get?
The coldest month in Arundel is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Arundel get?
Arundel sees roughly 1412 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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