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CheckWeather AUHappy Valley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Happy Valley weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Happy Valley today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 15°, with a 10% chance of rain.

14°11°
15°10°
14°
13°10°
16°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low 12°·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Happy Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
14° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15° 10°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
13° 10°
models agree
Thu
Clear
16°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
20° 12°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
19° 13°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 11°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15°
±2°
Thu
Mostly clear
20°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
21° 15°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
17° 11°
±5°

Happy Valley is a small town of about 11,000 people in South Australia, sitting at 35.1°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Happy Valley with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Sheidow Park, Hallett Cove, Woodcroft.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Happy Valley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C95±2.4 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C95±2.6 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C92±4.1 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±3°14° to 17°±7%3% to 10% chance
Tue±1°13° to 15°±3%2% to 5% chance
Wed±2°12° to 14°±5%0% to 5% chance
Thu±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Happy Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Happy Valley today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Happy Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Happy Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Happy Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Happy Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Happy Valley (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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