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CheckWeather AUFlagstaff Hill
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Flagstaff Hill weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Flagstaff Hill's high today between 13° and 16°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 15°, with a 10% chance of rain.

15°
15°
15°
12°
15°
19°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±2°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 49%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Mostly clear
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Fog
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Flagstaff Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
12°
±3°
Thu
Clear
15°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
19°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
21° 10°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
16°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Wed
Partly cloudy
17°
±2°
Thu
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
22° 14°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
20°
±6°

Flagstaff Hill is a small town of about 9,624 people in South Australia, sitting at 35.0°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Flagstaff Hill with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Aberfoyle Park, Mitchell Park, Happy Valley.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Flagstaff Hill?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C95±2.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
76
/100rank #2
74±1.4°C95±2.7 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C93±3.5 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°13° to 16°±49%0% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 17°±7%3% to 10% chance
Tue±2°14° to 16°±3%2% to 5% chance
Wed±3°11° to 14°±9%3% to 12% chance
Thu±2°14° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Flagstaff Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Flagstaff Hill today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Flagstaff Hill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Flagstaff Hill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Flagstaff Hill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Flagstaff Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Flagstaff Hill (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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