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CheckWeather AU›Flagstaff Hill
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Flagstaff Hill weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Flagstaff Hill today. Tomorrow: rain, around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain.

24°12°
15°8°
14°7°
18°7°
20°8°
21°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Rain
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Showers
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 86%
GermanDWD ICON
25°
Thunderstorm
Today 25°·Low 12°·Rain 100%
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Flagstaff Hill weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Flagstaff Hill swings 20°C across the year, from 27°C highs in January to 7°C lows in August, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 778 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
27°C average high
Coldest month
August
7°C average low
Wettest month
June
778 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and September
Residents
9,624
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Flagstaff Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Flagstaff Hill hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Flagstaff Hill 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
24° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
15° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14° 7°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
18° 7°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 8°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
21° 10°
±4°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
17° 12°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
25° 10°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
24° 10°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
28° 12°
±8°

Flagstaff Hill, South Australia is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 7°C), with roughly 778 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Flagstaff Hill right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Flagstaff Hill climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
27°
16°
Feb
27°
16°
Mar
24°
15°
Apr
20°
13°
May
17°
10°
Jun
13°
8°
Jul
14°
8°
Aug
14°
7°
Sep
16°
8°
Oct
19°
10°
Nov
22°
12°
Dec
24°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Flagstaff Hill has changed since 1995

Flagstaff Hill sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Adelaide. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Adelaide page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Flagstaff Hill?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C94±2.8 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
80
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C94±3.2 km/h7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C94±3.1 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 25°±14%86% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 16°±2%98% to 100% chance
Mon±4°12° to 16°±29%11% to 40% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°±7%16% to 23% chance
Wed±6°17° to 23°±12%0% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Flagstaff Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:37
Daylight
13h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Flagstaff Hill today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Flagstaff Hill today. Tomorrow: rain, around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Flagstaff Hill today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Flagstaff Hill on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 98% (European 100%, American 98%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Flagstaff Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Flagstaff Hill (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the German at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Flagstaff Hill?
January is typically the warmest month in Flagstaff Hill, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Flagstaff Hill get?
The coldest month in Flagstaff Hill is August, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Flagstaff Hill get?
Flagstaff Hill sees roughly 778 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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