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CheckWeather AU›Aberfoyle Park
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Aberfoyle Park weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Aberfoyle Park's high today between 21° and 26°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain.

23°12°
15°9°
15°8°
17°7°
19°8°
20°10°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Rain
Today 21°·Low 13°·Rain 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Showers
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 86%
GermanDWD ICON
26°
Thunderstorm
Today 26°·Low 12°·Rain 100%
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Aberfoyle Park weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Aberfoyle Park swings 20°C across the year, from 27°C highs in January to 7°C lows in June, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 805 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
27°C average high
Coldest month
June
7°C average low
Wettest month
June
805 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and September
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Aberfoyle Park and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Aberfoyle Park hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Aberfoyle Park 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
23° 12°
±4°
Tomorrow
Rain
15° 9°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15° 8°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
17° 7°
±2°
Wed
Mostly clear
19° 8°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 10°
±4°
Fri
Light rain
17° 13°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
20° 10°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
25° 11°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 14°
±2°
Wed
Partly cloudy
17° 12°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 10°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
27° 13°
±6°

Aberfoyle Park, South Australia is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 805 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Aberfoyle Park right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Aberfoyle Park climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
27°
15°
Feb
27°
15°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
20°
11°
May
16°
9°
Jun
13°
7°
Jul
13°
7°
Aug
14°
7°
Sep
16°
7°
Oct
19°
9°
Nov
22°
11°
Dec
23°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Aberfoyle Park has changed since 1995

Aberfoyle Park sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Adelaide. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Adelaide page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Aberfoyle Park?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
81±1.1°C96±1.8 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
80
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C93±3.3 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C92±3.8 km/h5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°21° to 26°±14%86% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 16°±2%98% to 100% chance
Mon±3°13° to 16°±18%11% to 29% chance
Tue±2°16° to 19°±15%8% to 23% chance
Wed±6°17° to 23°±7%3% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Aberfoyle Park

today, local time
Sunrise
06:22
Sunset
19:38
Daylight
13h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Aberfoyle Park today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Aberfoyle Park's high today between 21° and 26°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Aberfoyle Park today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Aberfoyle Park on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 98% (European 100%, American 98%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Aberfoyle Park?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Aberfoyle Park (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the German at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Aberfoyle Park?
January is typically the warmest month in Aberfoyle Park, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Aberfoyle Park get?
The coldest month in Aberfoyle Park is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Aberfoyle Park get?
Aberfoyle Park sees roughly 805 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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