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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Hamilton weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Hamilton today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 24°, with a 71% chance of rain.

25°15°
24°15°
24°13°
21°15°
21°13°
22°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agreeSaturdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Light drizzle
Feels 22° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 51%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Overcast
Feels 19° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 50%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Mainly clear
Feels 21° · Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 52%

Latest for Hamilton: European (ECMWF): 23° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 22° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 23° Mainly clear.

Hamilton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hamilton swings 20°C across the year, from 30°C highs in December to 10°C lows in June, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1189 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
30°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
November
1189 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
7,144
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hamilton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
25° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
24° 15°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
24° 13°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±3°
Mon
Mostly clear
22° 13°
models agree
Tue
Clear
25° 13°
±3°
Wed
Partly cloudy
24° 15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
20° 14°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
27° 13°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
28° 16°
±4°

Hamilton, Queensland is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 1189 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Hamilton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Hamilton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
20°
Feb
29°
20°
Mar
28°
20°
Apr
26°
16°
May
23°
12°
Jun
22°
10°
Jul
21°
10°
Aug
24°
12°
Sep
26°
13°
Oct
27°
15°
Nov
28°
18°
Dec
30°
20°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hamilton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.0 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C97±1.6 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C91±4.3 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°24° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°23° to 25°±61%10% to 71% chance
Wed±3°23° to 26°±12%1% to 13% chance
Thu±2°20° to 21°±15%16% to 31% chance
Fri±1°21° to 22°±40%5% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hamilton

today, local time
Sunrise
05:55
Sunset
17:37
Daylight
11h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hamilton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Hamilton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hamilton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Hamilton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hamilton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hamilton (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hamilton?
December is typically the warmest month in Hamilton, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Hamilton get?
The coldest month in Hamilton is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Hamilton get?
Hamilton sees roughly 1189 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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