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Ascot weather

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EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Feels 21° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 96%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 94%

Latest for Ascot: European (ECMWF): 20° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 21° Light rain.

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Ascot weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ascot swings 20°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 9°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1077 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
9°C average low
Wettest month
February
1077 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
5,773
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Ascot and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ascot hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ascot 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Ascot, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1077 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Ascot right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Ascot climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
20°
Feb
28°
19°
Mar
27°
19°
Apr
25°
15°
May
23°
12°
Jun
22°
10°
Jul
20°
9°
Aug
22°
10°
Sep
25°
12°
Oct
26°
14°
Nov
27°
17°
Dec
29°
19°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ascot has changed since 1995

Ascot sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Brisbane. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Brisbane page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ascot?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C99±0.7 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C90±5.1 km/h5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
63
/100rank #3
63±2.1°C94±3.1 km/h4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Ascot today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Ascot today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ascot today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Ascot and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ascot?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ascot (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ascot?
January is typically the warmest month in Ascot, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Ascot get?
The coldest month in Ascot is July, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Ascot get?
Ascot sees roughly 1077 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

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