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CheckWeather AUGoulburn
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Goulburn weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Goulburn's high today between 15° and 17°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 15°, with a 48% chance of rain.

15°
15°
16°
14°
15°
19°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 11%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Goulburn and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
15°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Clear
15°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19°
±2°
Sat
Clear
20°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Mon
Clear
22° 10°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
17°
±5°
Wed
Clear
16°
models agree
Thu
Clear
16°
±6°
Fri
Clear
18°
±9°
Sat
Clear
21°
models agree

Goulburn, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 3°C), with roughly 651 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Goulburn right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Goulburn climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
14°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
24°
12°
Apr
18°
May
13°
Jun
11°
Jul
11°
Aug
14°
Sep
17°
Oct
20°
Nov
24°
12°
Dec
26°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Goulburn?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±0.9 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
89
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C97±1.6 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C94±3.0 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°±90%0% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 16°±15%33% to 48% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°±15%8% to 23% chance
Wed±2°14° to 15°±34%28% to 62% chance
Thu±1°15° to 16°±21%0% to 21% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Goulburn

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
17:45
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Goulburn today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Goulburn today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Goulburn today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Goulburn and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Goulburn?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Goulburn (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Goulburn?
December is typically the warmest month in Goulburn, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Goulburn get?
The coldest month in Goulburn is June, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Goulburn get?
Goulburn sees roughly 651 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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