Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather AU›Cranebrook
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Cranebrook weather

Loading live data…

Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 30° in Cranebrook today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 33°, with a 87% chance of rain.

30°15°
33°17°
22°15°
25°12°
26°9°
27°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
29°
Light drizzle
Today 29°·Low 16°·Rain 49%
AmericanNOAA GFS
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low 14°·Rain 6%
GermanDWD ICON
30°
Fog
Today 30°·Low 15°·Rain 3%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Cranebrook weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cranebrook swings 24°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 5°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 907 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
5°C average low
Wettest month
February
907 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
16,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cranebrook and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Cranebrook hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Cranebrook 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
30° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
33° 17°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
25° 12°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
26° 9°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
27° 10°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
25° 13°
±9°
Sat
Light rain
27° 16°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 14°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
24° 12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
30° 14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
21° 14°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
27° 14°
±5°

Cranebrook, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 907 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Cranebrook right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Cranebrook climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
19°
Feb
28°
17°
Mar
26°
15°
Apr
23°
12°
May
19°
9°
Jun
17°
6°
Jul
17°
5°
Aug
17°
5°
Sep
22°
7°
Oct
24°
11°
Nov
25°
14°
Dec
29°
16°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Cranebrook has changed since 1995

Cranebrook sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Blue Mountains. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Blue Mountains page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cranebrook?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C95±2.3 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±2.2 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
67
/100rank #3
62±2.1°C93±3.3 km/h5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
GermanDWD ICON
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°29° to 30°±46%3% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±3°32° to 35°±47%40% to 87% chance
Mon±5°20° to 25°±25%59% to 84% chance
Tue±4°23° to 27°±33%15% to 48% chance
Wed±3°25° to 28°±24%14% to 38% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cranebrook

today, local time
Sunrise
06:05
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cranebrook today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 30° in Cranebrook today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 33°, with a 87% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Cranebrook today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Cranebrook on Sunday 25 October: European 53%, American 87%, German 40%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 49%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cranebrook?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cranebrook (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cranebrook?
January is typically the warmest month in Cranebrook, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Cranebrook get?
The coldest month in Cranebrook is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Cranebrook get?
Cranebrook sees roughly 907 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather