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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUCessnock
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Cessnock weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Cessnock today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 42% chance of rain.

24°12°
23°11°
19°
22°
18°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Clear
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Clear
Today 24°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cessnock and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
24° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
22°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
22°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
26°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
29° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
25° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24° 10°
±9°
Thu
Mostly clear
19°
±7°
Fri
Clear
25°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
31° 14°
models agree

Cessnock is a small town of about 23,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 32.8°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Cessnock with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Kurri Kurri, Rutherford, Maitland.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cessnock?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.7 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C96±2.0 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°23° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 24°±7%35% to 42% chance
Tue±1°18° to 19°±32%23% to 55% chance
Wed±2°21° to 23°±47%3% to 50% chance
Thumodels agree18° to 19°±29%3% to 32% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cessnock

today, local time
Sunrise
06:06
Sunset
17:40
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cessnock today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Cessnock today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cessnock today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Cessnock and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cessnock?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cessnock (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather