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CheckWeather AUCaboolture
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Caboolture weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 33° in Caboolture today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 24°, with a 6% chance of rain.

33°16°
24°15°
23°14°
23°13°
21°14°
22°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
32°
Cloudy
Today 32°·Low 14°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
34°
Cloudy
Today 34°·Low 17°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
33°
Partly cloudy
Today 33°·Low 18°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Caboolture and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
33° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
24° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 13°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
24° 11°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
27° 12°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
27° 14°
±12°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 14°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 12°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
26° 10°
±6°

Caboolture, Queensland is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 1331 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Caboolture right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Caboolture climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
21°
Feb
30°
20°
Mar
28°
20°
Apr
26°
16°
May
23°
12°
Jun
22°
10°
Jul
21°
10°
Aug
24°
12°
Sep
26°
13°
Oct
27°
15°
Nov
28°
18°
Dec
30°
20°

Which forecast is most accurate in Caboolture?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C99±0.7 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C96±2.2 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
75
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C97±1.6 km/t4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°32° to 34°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±1°22° to 24°±51%8% to 59% chance
Wed±4°22° to 25°±33%1% to 34% chance
Thu±1°20° to 21°±56%10% to 66% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Caboolture

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
17:37
Daylight
11h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Caboolture today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Caboolture today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Caboolture today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Caboolture and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Caboolture?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Caboolture (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Caboolture?
February is typically the warmest month in Caboolture, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Caboolture get?
The coldest month in Caboolture is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Caboolture get?
Caboolture sees roughly 1331 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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