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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Wharton weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in Wharton today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain.

62°40°
65°40°
69°46°
63°50°
62°45°
67°48°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
63°
Mostly clear
Today 63°·Low 40°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
62°
Cloudy
Today 62°·Low 40°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
62°
Mostly clear
Today 62°·Low 39°·Rain 0%
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Wharton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Wharton…

Wharton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Wharton swings 61°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 26°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 121 days a year at 77°F or above, 51 of them at 86°F or above, 77 frost nights, and rain on 130 days.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
26°F average low
Wettest month
July
48 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
50,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
121 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
77 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
130 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Wharton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wharton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Wharton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Wharton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
62° 40°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
65° 40°
models agree
Mon
Clear
69° 46°
models agree
Tue
Clear
63° 50°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
62° 45°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
67° 48°
±4°
Fri
Clear
69° 51°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
68° 51°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
65° 50°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
65° 54°
±17°
Tue
Cloudy
63° 50°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
55° 44°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
59° 42°
models agree

Wharton, Pennsylvania (PA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 26°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wharton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wharton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
40°
26°
Feb
44°
26°
Mar
52°
33°
Apr
64°
43°
May
74°
53°
Jun
85°
63°
Jul
87°
68°
Aug
85°
67°
Sep
77°
60°
Oct
67°
47°
Nov
55°
38°
Dec
44°
30°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Wharton has changed since 1995

Wharton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Philadelphia. That square ran 1.7°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Philadelphia page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wharton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F99±0.4 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F95±1.5 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°62° to 63°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°64° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°68° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°63° to 64°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°60° to 63°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wharton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:20
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
10h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wharton today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in Wharton today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Wharton today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Wharton on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wharton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wharton (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wharton?
July is typically the warmest month in Wharton, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Wharton get?
The coldest month in Wharton is January, when overnight lows average about 26°F.
How much rain does Wharton get?
Wharton sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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