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CheckWeather USPhiladelphia
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Philadelphia weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Philadelphia today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 80°, with a 22% chance of rain.

82°70°
80°64°
80°63°
84°62°
88°68°
90°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Light rain
Today 81°·Low 69°·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 70°·Rain 22%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 69°·Rain 28%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Philadelphia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
82° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
80° 64°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
80° 63°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
84° 62°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
88° 68°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
90° 73°
±10°
Fri
Cloudy
82° 68°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
85° 65°
±11°
Sun
Mostly clear
88° 69°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
87° 71°
±15°
Tue
Drizzle
82° 67°
±25°
Wed
Light drizzle
77° 63°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
76° 62°
models agree
Fri
Rain
72° 60°
±10°

Philadelphia, PA. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Philadelphia right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Philadelphia's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Philadelphia weather by month

what to expect in Philadelphia through the year

Here is Philadelphia's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Philadelphia by season.

Jan
46°
32°
Cool
Feb
49°
31°
Cool
Mar
55°
36°
Cool
Apr
67°
46°
Mild
Wettest
May
74°
53°
Warm
Jun
85°
63°
Hot
Jul
89°
70°
Hot
Aug
85°
67°
Hot
Sep
78°
61°
Warm
Oct
70°
50°
Mild
Nov
57°
40°
Cool
Dec
47°
33°
Cool

What Philadelphia's weather is like through the year

Philadelphia runs from warm summers, with July highs near 89°F, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 31°F (a swing of about 58°F across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Philadelphia sees roughly 46 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 1 month (February), so Philadelphia sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Philadelphia

The most comfortable time to visit Philadelphia is usually May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Philadelphia?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±1.9 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Philadelphia, scoring 97/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 65. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°81° to 83°±6%22% to 28% chance
Tomorrow±3°78° to 82°±20%2% to 22% chance
Mon±2°79° to 82°±3%2% to 5% chance
Tue±2°83° to 86°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±3°86° to 89°±9%1% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Philadelphia

today, local time
Sunrise
06:32
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Philadelphia today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Philadelphia today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Philadelphia today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Philadelphia and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Philadelphia?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Philadelphia (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Philadelphia?
July is typically the warmest month in Philadelphia, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Philadelphia get?
The coldest month in Philadelphia is February, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Philadelphia get?
Philadelphia sees roughly 46 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Philadelphia?
The most comfortable time to visit Philadelphia is usually May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Philadelphia?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 1 month (February) in Philadelphia, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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