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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Wauwatosa weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Wauwatosa's high today between 67° and 72°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 10% chance of rain.

69°49°
72°53°
59°51°
58°50°
70°54°
70°53°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
55°
Partly cloudy
Feels 52° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
52°
Mainly clear
Feels 51° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 91%
EuropeanECMWF
55°
Overcast
Feels 52° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 73%

Latest for Wauwatosa: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 55° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 52° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 55° Overcast.

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Wauwatosa weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Wauwatosa weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Wauwatosa swings 63°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 16°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 35 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 70 days a year at 77°F or above, 17 of them at 86°F or above, 125 frost nights, and rain on 119 days.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
January
16°F average low
Wettest month
June
35 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, August and September
Residents
48,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
70 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
125 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
119 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Wauwatosa’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wauwatosa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Wauwatosa hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Wauwatosa 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
69° 49°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
72° 53°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
59° 51°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
58° 50°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
70° 54°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
70° 53°
±7°
Fri
Partly cloudy
67° 50°
±10°
Sat
Light drizzle
68° 55°
±11°
Sun
Light drizzle
64° 52°
±11°
Mon
Drizzle
59° 43°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
47° 40°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
52° 40°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
56° 40°
±13°

Wauwatosa, Wisconsin (WI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 16°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wauwatosa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wauwatosa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
27°
16°
Feb
34°
17°
Mar
42°
27°
Apr
54°
36°
May
63°
44°
Jun
75°
57°
Jul
79°
62°
Aug
77°
62°
Sep
70°
55°
Oct
59°
43°
Nov
45°
32°
Dec
32°
22°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Wauwatosa has changed since 1995

Wauwatosa sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Milwaukee. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Milwaukee page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wauwatosa?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.7 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F95±1.6 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°67° to 72°±3%4% to 7% chance
Tomorrow±2°71° to 73°±6%4% to 10% chance
Monmodels agree58° to 59°±5%1% to 6% chance
Tue±1°58° to 59°±32%3% to 35% chance
Wed±2°69° to 71°±9%14% to 23% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wauwatosa

today, local time
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
17:54
Daylight
10h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wauwatosa today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Wauwatosa's high today between 67° and 72°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 10% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Wauwatosa today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Wauwatosa on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 10% (NWS 4%, American 4%, European 10%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 7%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wauwatosa?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wauwatosa (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wauwatosa?
July is typically the warmest month in Wauwatosa, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Wauwatosa get?
The coldest month in Wauwatosa is January, when overnight lows average about 16°F.
How much rain does Wauwatosa get?
Wauwatosa sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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