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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Wauwatosa weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Wauwatosa today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 75°, with a 1% chance of rain.

75°66°
75°64°
77°62°
81°64°
82°69°
77°62°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 67°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 65°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
76°
Light drizzle
Today 76°·Low 67°·Rain 51%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wauwatosa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
75° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
75° 64°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
77° 62°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
81° 64°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
82° 69°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
77° 62°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 60°
±10°
Sat
Light drizzle
82° 64°
±8°
Sun
Light rain
72° 63°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
68° 57°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
67° 54°
±13°
Wed
Clear
70° 48°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 54°
±9°
Fri
Partly cloudy
73° 56°
±9°

Wauwatosa, WI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wauwatosa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wauwatosa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
21°
Feb
41°
24°
Mar
44°
29°
Apr
57°
39°
May
66°
47°
Jun
76°
58°
Jul
80°
63°
Aug
78°
63°
Sep
74°
59°
Oct
63°
47°
Nov
48°
35°
Dec
38°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Wauwatosa?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±1.0 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F94±1.8 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°75° to 76°±46%5% to 51% chance
Tomorrow±4°73° to 77°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°75° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°80° to 81°±13%16% to 29% chance
Wed±7°79° to 86°±17%70% to 87% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wauwatosa

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wauwatosa today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Wauwatosa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wauwatosa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Wauwatosa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wauwatosa?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wauwatosa (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wauwatosa?
July is typically the warmest month in Wauwatosa, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Wauwatosa get?
The coldest month in Wauwatosa is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Wauwatosa get?
Wauwatosa sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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