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CheckWeather USMilwaukee
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Milwaukee weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Milwaukee today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 73°, with a 1% chance of rain.

75°67°
73°65°
76°63°
79°66°
81°69°
76°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Light drizzle
Today 74°·Low 69°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Fog
Today 74°·Low 65°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
76°
Light drizzle
Today 76°·Low 67°·Rain 51%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Milwaukee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
75° 67°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
73° 65°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
76° 63°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
79° 66°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
81° 69°
±9°
Thu
Mostly clear
76° 63°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
79° 61°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
81° 65°
±7°
Sun
Light rain
72° 63°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
68° 58°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
68° 56°
±10°
Wed
Clear
69° 50°
±12°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 55°
±12°
Fri
Partly cloudy
72° 59°
±12°

Milwaukee, WI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Milwaukee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Milwaukee climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
21°
Feb
41°
24°
Mar
44°
29°
Apr
57°
39°
May
66°
48°
Jun
77°
59°
Jul
80°
64°
Aug
79°
63°
Sep
75°
59°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
48°
36°
Dec
39°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Milwaukee?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±1.0 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F94±1.8 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°74° to 76°±46%5% to 51% chance
Tomorrow±3°72° to 75°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°74° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°76° to 81°±12%16% to 28% chance
Wed±9°77° to 86°±19%68% to 87% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Milwaukee

today, local time
Sunrise
06:20
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Milwaukee today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Milwaukee today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Milwaukee today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Milwaukee and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Milwaukee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Milwaukee (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Milwaukee?
July is typically the warmest month in Milwaukee, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Milwaukee get?
The coldest month in Milwaukee is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Milwaukee get?
Milwaukee sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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