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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Wasilla weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 40° in Wasilla today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 39°, with a 97% chance of rain.

40°33°
39°37°
41°37°
39°34°
37°32°
38°33°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
AmericanNOAA GFS
33°
Overcast
Feels 25° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 75%
EuropeanECMWF
34°
Overcast
Feels 30° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 94%

Latest for Wasilla: American (NOAA GFS): 33° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 34° Overcast.

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Wasilla weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Wasilla weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Wasilla swings 54°F across the year, from 65°F highs in July to 11°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 26 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
65°F average high
Coldest month
January
11°F average low
Wettest month
August
26 in a year
Below freezing
7 months
January, February, March, April, October, November and December
Comfortable
2 months
June and July
Residents
9,284
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wasilla and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Wasilla hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Wasilla 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
40° 33°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
39° 37°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
41° 37°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
39° 34°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
37° 32°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
38° 33°
models agree
Fri
Snow
40° 34°
models agree
Sat
Snow
38° 33°
models agree
Sun
Snow
37° 29°
models agree
Mon
Light snow
35° 27°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
36° 29°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
32° 28°
±7°
Thu
Light snow
33° 27°
models agree

Wasilla, Alaska (AK) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 65°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 11°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wasilla right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wasilla climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
22°
11°
Feb
27°
15°
Mar
32°
17°
Apr
44°
27°
May
55°
39°
Jun
64°
50°
Jul
65°
53°
Aug
63°
51°
Sep
53°
43°
Oct
41°
30°
Nov
28°
19°
Dec
24°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Wasilla has changed since 1995

Wasilla sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Eagle River. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Eagle River page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°39° to 41°±3%20% to 23% chance
Tomorrow±2°38° to 40°±2%95% to 97% chance
Mon±1°41° to 42°±13%15% to 28% chance
Tue±1°38° to 39°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±1°36° to 38°±5%19% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wasilla

today, local time
Sunrise
09:06
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
9h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wasilla today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 40° in Wasilla today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 39°, with a 97% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Wasilla today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Wasilla on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 95% (American 95%, European 97%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 23%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wasilla?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Wasilla forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Wasilla?
July is typically the warmest month in Wasilla, with average highs around 65°F.
How cold does Wasilla get?
The coldest month in Wasilla is January, when overnight lows average about 11°F.
How much rain does Wasilla get?
Wasilla sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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