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CheckWeather US›Alaska›Knik-Fairview
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

Knik-Fairview weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 40° in Knik-Fairview today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 39°, with a 97% chance of rain.

40°33°
39°37°
42°37°
40°34°
38°33°
38°33°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
AmericanNOAA GFS
33°
Overcast
Feels 27° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 75%
EuropeanECMWF
35°
Overcast
Feels 30° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 94%

Latest for Knik-Fairview: American (NOAA GFS): 33° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 35° Overcast.

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Knik-Fairview weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Knik-Fairview and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Knik-Fairview hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Knik-Fairview 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
40° 33°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
39° 37°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
42° 37°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
40° 34°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
38° 33°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
38° 33°
models agree
Fri
Snow
40° 34°
models agree
Sat
Snow
39° 34°
models agree
Sun
Snow
38° 29°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
36° 27°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
35° 30°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
32° 28°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
33° 27°
models agree

Knik-Fairview is a small town of about 15,000 people in Alaska (AK), sitting at 61.5°N in a cool, high-latitude climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Knik-Fairview with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Wasilla, Meadow Lakes, Tanaina.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

How the weather around Knik-Fairview has changed since 1995

Knik-Fairview sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Eagle River. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Eagle River page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree40° to 40°±3%20% to 23% chance
Tomorrow±3°37° to 40°±2%95% to 97% chance
Mon±2°41° to 42°±13%15% to 28% chance
Tue±1°39° to 40°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wedmodels agree38° to 38°±5%19% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Knik-Fairview

today, local time
Sunrise
09:06
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
9h 11m

Common questions

What's the weather in Knik-Fairview today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 40° in Knik-Fairview today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 39°, with a 97% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Knik-Fairview today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Knik-Fairview on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 95% (American 95%, European 97%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 23%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Knik-Fairview?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Knik-Fairview forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.

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