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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Vancouver weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Vancouver's high today between 57° and 61°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 56°, with a 74% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

59°40°
56°43°
59°46°
57°47°
55°45°
54°43°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±11°Mondaysplit ±10°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
60°
Cloudy
Today 60°·Low 39°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
61°
Cloudy
Today 61°·Low 40°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
57°
Cloudy
Today 57°·Low 42°·Rain 0%
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Vancouver weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Vancouver weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Vancouver swings 47°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 35°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 49 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 79 days a year at 77°F or above, 31 of them at 86°F or above, 28 frost nights, and rain on 149 days.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
January
35°F average low
Wettest month
December
49 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
196,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
79 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
28 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
149 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Vancouver’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Vancouver and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Vancouver hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Vancouver 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
59° 40°
±4°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
56° 43°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
59° 46°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
57° 47°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
55° 45°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
54° 43°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
55° 41°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
55° 39°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
57° 38°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
57° 41°
±8°
Tue
Clear
59° 43°
±8°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
55° 44°
±7°
Thu
Drizzle
57° 50°
±5°

Vancouver, Washington (WA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Vancouver right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Vancouver climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
45°
35°
Feb
49°
36°
Mar
54°
39°
Apr
58°
42°
May
67°
47°
Jun
73°
52°
Jul
82°
56°
Aug
82°
58°
Sep
74°
54°
Oct
63°
47°
Nov
51°
41°
Dec
45°
35°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Vancouver has changed since 1995

Vancouver sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Portland. That square ran 1.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Portland page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Vancouver?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F95±1.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F96±1.3 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°57° to 61°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±11°51° to 62°±31%43% to 74% chance
Mon±10°54° to 64°±8%63% to 71% chance
Tue±7°53° to 60°±8%33% to 41% chance
Wed±5°53° to 58°±22%24% to 46% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Vancouver

today, local time
Sunrise
07:39
Sunset
18:09
Daylight
10h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Vancouver today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Vancouver's high today between 57° and 61°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 56°, with a 74% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Vancouver today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Vancouver on Sunday, October 25: NWS 74%, American 74%, European 43%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 4%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Vancouver?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Vancouver (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Vancouver?
July is typically the warmest month in Vancouver, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Vancouver get?
The coldest month in Vancouver is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Vancouver get?
Vancouver sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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