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CheckWeather USVancouver
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Vancouver weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 69° in Vancouver today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 67°, with a 48% chance of rain.

69°54°
67°55°
69°54°
77°53°
84°56°
78°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Cloudy
Today 70°·Low 55°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
70°
Cloudy
Today 70°·Low 53°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
68°
Drizzle
Today 68°·Low 53°·Rain 39%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Vancouver and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
69° 54°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
67° 55°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
69° 54°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
77° 53°
±6°
Wed
Clear
84° 56°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
78° 57°
±13°
Fri
Light drizzle
73° 54°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
75° 54°
±6°
Sun
Clear
81° 55°
±11°
Mon
Partly cloudy
80° 56°
±14°
Tue
Cloudy
75° 58°
±15°
Wed
Cloudy
75° 54°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
71° 54°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
72° 55°
±5°

Vancouver, WA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 57 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Vancouver right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Vancouver climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
45°
35°
Feb
48°
35°
Mar
52°
37°
Apr
57°
41°
May
68°
48°
Jun
74°
53°
Jul
85°
59°
Aug
84°
60°
Sep
75°
55°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
51°
41°
Dec
49°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in Vancouver?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F96±1.3 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F96±1.2 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°68° to 70°±33%6% to 39% chance
Tomorrow±5°64° to 69°±14%34% to 48% chance
Mon±4°67° to 71°±1%3% to 4% chance
Tue±6°75° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°82° to 88°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Vancouver

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 4m

Common questions

What's the weather in Vancouver today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Vancouver today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Vancouver today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Vancouver and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Vancouver?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Vancouver (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Vancouver?
July is typically the warmest month in Vancouver, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Vancouver get?
The coldest month in Vancouver is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Vancouver get?
Vancouver sees roughly 57 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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