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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Portland weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 69° in Portland today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 67°, with a 71% chance of rain.

69°54°
67°56°
70°53°
78°55°
86°57°
79°58°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±12°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Drizzle
Today 70°·Low 55°·Rain 7%
AmericanNOAA GFS
70°
Cloudy
Today 70°·Low 54°·Rain 7%
EuropeanECMWF
68°
Light drizzle
Today 68°·Low 53°·Rain 54%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Portland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
69° 54°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
67° 56°
±5°
Mon
Partly cloudy
70° 53°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
78° 55°
±5°
Wed
Clear
86° 57°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
79° 58°
±12°
Fri
Partly cloudy
74° 55°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
76° 54°
±6°
Sun
Clear
81° 57°
±11°
Mon
Partly cloudy
81° 58°
±14°
Tue
Cloudy
76° 60°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
77° 57°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
73° 56°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
74° 56°
±7°

Portland, OR. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Portland right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Portland's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Portland weather by month

what to expect in Portland through the year

Here is Portland's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Portland by season.

Jan
45°
35°
Cool
Feb
48°
35°
Cool
Mar
52°
36°
Cool
Apr
57°
41°
Cool
May
68°
47°
Mild
Jun
74°
52°
Warm
Jul
86°
59°
Hot
Aug
84°
59°
Warm
Sep
75°
54°
Warm
Oct
63°
48°
Mild
Nov
51°
41°
Cool
Dec
49°
40°
Cool
Wettest

What Portland's weather is like through the year

Portland runs from warm summers, with July highs near 86°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 35°F (a swing of about 51°F across the year). December is usually the wettest month, and Portland sees roughly 59 inches of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Portland

The most comfortable time to visit Portland is usually May, June, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Portland?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F95±1.5 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Portland, scoring 92/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 83. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°68° to 70°±47%7% to 54% chance
Tomorrow±5°65° to 70°±35%36% to 71% chance
Mon±3°69° to 72°±7%3% to 10% chance
Tue±5°76° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°84° to 89°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Portland

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 4m

Common questions

What's the weather in Portland today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Portland today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Portland today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Portland and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Portland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Portland (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Portland?
July is typically the warmest month in Portland, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Portland get?
The coldest month in Portland is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Portland get?
Portland sees roughly 59 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Portland?
The most comfortable time to visit Portland is usually May, June, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Portland?
Rarely - Portland very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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