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CheckWeather USTurlock
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Turlock weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 86° in Turlock today. Tomorrow looks clear around 86°, with a 0% chance of rain.

86°61°
86°60°
90°59°
96°63°
101°72°
104°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±9°Wednesdaysplit ±13°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Partly cloudy
Today 84°·Low 61°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Cloudy
Today 85°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Partly cloudy
Today 88°·Low 63°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Turlock and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
86° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
86° 60°
models agree
Mon
Clear
90° 59°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
96° 63°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
101° 72°
±13°
Thu
Mostly clear
104° 77°
±13°
Fri
Mostly clear
98° 71°
±11°
Sat
Mostly clear
91° 64°
±9°
Sun
Mostly clear
88° 61°
±8°
Mon
Partly cloudy
89° 61°
±13°
Tue
Clear
92° 62°
±15°
Wed
Cloudy
98° 63°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
98° 67°
±9°
Fri
Clear
95° 63°
models agree

Turlock, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 104°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 39°F), with roughly 24 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Turlock right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Turlock climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
41°
Feb
58°
39°
Mar
61°
43°
Apr
71°
47°
May
81°
54°
Jun
92°
61°
Jul
104°
69°
Aug
99°
67°
Sep
91°
62°
Oct
83°
56°
Nov
65°
44°
Dec
59°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Turlock?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°84° to 88°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°85° to 88°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°87° to 92°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±9°90° to 99°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±13°93° to 106°±1%7% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Turlock

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in Turlock today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Turlock today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Turlock today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Turlock and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Turlock?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Turlock (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Turlock?
July is typically the warmest month in Turlock, with average highs around 104°F.
How cold does Turlock get?
The coldest month in Turlock is February, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Turlock get?
Turlock sees roughly 24 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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