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CheckWeather US›California›Hilmar-Irwin

Hilmar-Irwin weather

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Hilmar-Irwin weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Hilmar-Irwin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hilmar-Irwin hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hilmar-Irwin 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Hilmar-Irwin is a small town of about 5,197 people in California (CA), sitting at 37.4°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Hilmar-Irwin with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Delhi, Turlock, Livingston.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

How the weather around Hilmar-Irwin has changed since 1995

Hilmar-Irwin sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Merced. That square ran 1.5°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Merced page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Hilmar-Irwin today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Hilmar-Irwin today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hilmar-Irwin today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Hilmar-Irwin and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hilmar-Irwin?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Hilmar-Irwin forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.

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