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CheckWeather USTulsa
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Tulsa weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 101° in Tulsa today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 101°, with a 18% chance of rain.

101°77°
101°79°
100°80°
103°82°
104°83°
94°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
100°
Clear
Today 100°·Low 79°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
101°
Mostly clear
Today 101°·Low 75°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
101°
Clear
Today 101°·Low 77°·Rain 10%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tulsa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
101° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
101° 79°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
100° 80°
models agree
Tue
Clear
103° 82°
±8°
Wed
Mostly clear
104° 83°
±9°
Thu
Light drizzle
94° 77°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
94° 74°
±13°
Sat
Clear
101° 80°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
95° 75°
±13°
Mon
Mostly clear
87° 66°
±12°
Tue
Light drizzle
85° 64°
±9°
Wed
Clear
85° 64°
±14°
Thu
Clear
88° 65°
±10°
Fri
Partly cloudy
92° 68°
±7°

Tulsa, OK is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 29°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tulsa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tulsa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
47°
29°
Feb
58°
37°
Mar
64°
43°
Apr
72°
51°
May
80°
61°
Jun
90°
70°
Jul
92°
73°
Aug
93°
74°
Sep
86°
66°
Oct
76°
56°
Nov
62°
44°
Dec
53°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in Tulsa?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F98±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F97±1.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°100° to 101°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±3°100° to 103°±12%6% to 18% chance
Mon±1°99° to 101°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tue±8°100° to 108°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±9°100° to 109°±7%5% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tulsa

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
12h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tulsa today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tulsa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tulsa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tulsa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tulsa?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tulsa (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tulsa?
August is typically the warmest month in Tulsa, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Tulsa get?
The coldest month in Tulsa is January, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Tulsa get?
Tulsa sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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