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CheckWeather USTrenton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Trenton weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Trenton today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 78°, with a 52% chance of rain.

81°68°
78°63°
79°60°
83°59°
87°66°
87°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Light drizzle
Today 80°·Low 66°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 69°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Light drizzle
Today 80°·Low 68°·Rain 9%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Trenton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
81° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
78° 63°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
79° 60°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
83° 59°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
87° 66°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
87° 72°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 66°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
84° 62°
±12°
Sun
Partly cloudy
88° 66°
±11°
Mon
Drizzle
87° 69°
±16°
Tue
Drizzle
82° 65°
±25°
Wed
Light drizzle
77° 61°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
76° 60°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
70° 59°
±11°

Trenton, NJ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 30°F), with roughly 46 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Trenton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Trenton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
46°
31°
Feb
48°
30°
Mar
54°
36°
Apr
65°
45°
May
73°
53°
Jun
84°
63°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
84°
67°
Sep
77°
61°
Oct
70°
50°
Nov
56°
40°
Dec
46°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Trenton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F96±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
64
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F94±1.8 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°80° to 82°±5%4% to 9% chance
Tomorrow±2°77° to 78°±47%5% to 52% chance
Mon±2°79° to 80°±5%1% to 6% chance
Tue±2°82° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°86° to 88°±6%1% to 7% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Trenton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
19:24
Daylight
12h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Trenton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Trenton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Trenton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Trenton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Trenton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Trenton (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 64. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Trenton?
July is typically the warmest month in Trenton, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Trenton get?
The coldest month in Trenton is February, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Trenton get?
Trenton sees roughly 46 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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