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CheckWeather USTexas City
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Texas City weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 88° in Texas City today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 88°, with a 74% chance of rain.

88°79°
88°79°
90°78°
91°79°
90°80°
92°79°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Drizzle
Today 88°·Low 80°·Rain 40%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Cloudy
Today 89°·Low 78°·Rain 40%
EuropeanECMWF
86°
Thunderstorm
Today 86°·Low 79°·Rain 84%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Texas City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
88° 79°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
88° 79°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
90° 78°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
91° 79°
models agree
Wed
Thunderstorm
90° 80°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
92° 79°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
93° 79°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
92° 81°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
92° 82°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
90° 81°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
90° 78°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
88° 76°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
88° 76°
models agree
Fri
Clear
89° 73°
models agree

Texas City, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 50°F), with roughly 66 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Texas City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Texas City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
50°
Feb
67°
54°
Mar
72°
61°
Apr
76°
65°
May
82°
72°
Jun
87°
78°
Jul
88°
79°
Aug
91°
80°
Sep
87°
76°
Oct
80°
69°
Nov
72°
61°
Dec
66°
55°

Which forecast is most accurate in Texas City?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.1 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F97±1.0 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°86° to 89°±44%40% to 84% chance
Tomorrow±1°88° to 89°±49%25% to 74% chance
Mon±4°88° to 91°±30%9% to 39% chance
Tue±2°89° to 92°±43%7% to 50% chance
Wed±4°88° to 91°±37%31% to 68% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Texas City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
19:37
Daylight
12h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Texas City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Texas City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Texas City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Texas City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Texas City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Texas City (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Texas City?
August is typically the warmest month in Texas City, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Texas City get?
The coldest month in Texas City is January, when overnight lows average about 50°F.
How much rain does Texas City get?
Texas City sees roughly 66 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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