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CheckWeather USPasadena
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Pasadena weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 90° in Pasadena today. Tomorrow looks showers around 91°, with a 95% chance of rain.

90°78°
91°78°
92°78°
94°79°
93°80°
94°79°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Showers
Today 90°·Low 79°·Rain 50%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Showers
Today 90°·Low 79°·Rain 50%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Thunderstorm
Today 90°·Low 77°·Rain 76%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Pasadena and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
90° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
91° 78°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
92° 78°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
94° 79°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
93° 80°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
94° 79°
±6°
Fri
Clear
96° 79°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
95° 80°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
94° 81°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
93° 80°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
93° 79°
±8°
Wed
Drizzle
90° 76°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
92° 74°
models agree
Fri
Clear
94° 74°
models agree

Pasadena, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 47°F), with roughly 73 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Pasadena right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Pasadena climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
47°
Feb
69°
52°
Mar
74°
59°
Apr
78°
62°
May
84°
70°
Jun
91°
75°
Jul
92°
77°
Aug
95°
79°
Sep
90°
74°
Oct
82°
65°
Nov
72°
57°
Dec
67°
51°

Which forecast is most accurate in Pasadena?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.5 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
58
/100rank #2
71±2.9°F92±2.6 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°90° to 90°±26%50% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±3°90° to 92°±68%27% to 95% chance
Monmodels agree92° to 92°±31%18% to 49% chance
Tue±4°92° to 97°±46%22% to 68% chance
Wed±7°90° to 97°±43%21% to 64% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Pasadena

today, local time
Sunrise
07:00
Sunset
19:38
Daylight
12h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Pasadena today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Pasadena today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Pasadena today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Pasadena and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Pasadena?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Pasadena (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 58. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Pasadena?
August is typically the warmest month in Pasadena, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Pasadena get?
The coldest month in Pasadena is January, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Pasadena get?
Pasadena sees roughly 73 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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