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CheckWeather US›California›Tamalpais Valley

Tamalpais Valley weather

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Tamalpais Valley weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Tamalpais Valley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Tamalpais Valley swings 34°F across the year, from 77°F highs in July to 43°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 37 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
77°F average high
Coldest month
January
43°F average low
Wettest month
December
37 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
7,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tamalpais Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tamalpais Valley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tamalpais Valley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Tamalpais Valley, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 43°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tamalpais Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tamalpais Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
55°
43°
Feb
57°
44°
Mar
59°
47°
Apr
64°
47°
May
67°
50°
Jun
72°
53°
Jul
77°
53°
Aug
75°
55°
Sep
74°
55°
Oct
73°
52°
Nov
61°
48°
Dec
55°
44°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Tamalpais Valley has changed since 1995

Tamalpais Valley sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Francisco. That square ran 1.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Francisco page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Tamalpais Valley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tamalpais Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tamalpais Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tamalpais Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tamalpais Valley?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Tamalpais Valley forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Tamalpais Valley?
July is typically the warmest month in Tamalpais Valley, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Tamalpais Valley get?
The coldest month in Tamalpais Valley is January, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Tamalpais Valley get?
Tamalpais Valley sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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