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CheckWeather USSummerville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Summerville weather

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Light drizzle,thunder likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 94° in Summerville today. Tomorrow looks thunderstorm around 91°, with a 76% chance of rain.

94°75°
91°74°
80°72°
85°71°
87°73°
90°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
94°
Light drizzle
Today 94°·Low 75°·Rain 29%
AmericanNOAA GFS
94°
Fog
Today 94°·Low 75°·Rain 29%
EuropeanECMWF
95°
Thunderstorm
Today 95°·Low 75°·Rain 55%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Summerville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
94° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Thunderstorm
91° 74°
±5°
Mon
Showers
80° 72°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
85° 71°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
87° 73°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
90° 73°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
91° 74°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
90° 74°
±11°
Sun
Showers
90° 76°
±13°
Mon
Drizzle
92° 75°
±12°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
85° 74°
±12°
Wed
Thunderstorm
85° 70°
±9°
Thu
Showers
86° 70°
±12°
Fri
Drizzle
86° 68°
±11°

Summerville, SC is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 43°F), with roughly 56 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Summerville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Summerville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
43°
Feb
66°
47°
Mar
71°
52°
Apr
77°
56°
May
82°
63°
Jun
88°
69°
Jul
91°
74°
Aug
90°
73°
Sep
85°
68°
Oct
77°
59°
Nov
69°
52°
Dec
61°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Summerville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F97±1.1 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
62
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F92±2.5 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°94° to 95°±26%29% to 55% chance
Tomorrow±5°89° to 94°±38%38% to 76% chance
Mon±7°77° to 84°±26%66% to 92% chance
Tue±3°83° to 86°±38%41% to 79% chance
Wed±8°84° to 92°±41%35% to 76% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Summerville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:57
Sunset
19:40
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Summerville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Summerville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Summerville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Summerville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Summerville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Summerville (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 62. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Summerville?
July is typically the warmest month in Summerville, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Summerville get?
The coldest month in Summerville is January, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Summerville get?
Summerville sees roughly 56 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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