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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Summerville weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Summerville today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 74°, with a 2% chance of rain.

73°53°
74°54°
72°53°
74°49°
74°53°
74°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Mostly clear
Today 72°·Low 53°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Cloudy
Today 73°·Low 52°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Partly cloudy
Today 73°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
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Summerville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Summerville weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Summerville swings 50°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 40°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 52 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 196 days a year at 77°F or above, 94 of them at 86°F or above, 11 frost nights, and rain on 140 days.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
40°F average low
Wettest month
August
52 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
49,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
196 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
11 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
140 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Summerville’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Summerville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Summerville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Summerville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
73° 53°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
74° 54°
models agree
Mon
Clear
72° 53°
models agree
Tue
Clear
74° 49°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
74° 53°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
74° 56°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
76° 55°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
78° 56°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
76° 58°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
74° 59°
±11°
Tue
Light rain
73° 59°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
73° 54°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
75° 53°
models agree

Summerville, South Carolina (SC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 40°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Summerville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Summerville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
59°
40°
Feb
62°
43°
Mar
68°
49°
Apr
75°
54°
May
82°
63°
Jun
87°
68°
Jul
90°
73°
Aug
89°
72°
Sep
85°
68°
Oct
77°
59°
Nov
66°
49°
Dec
61°
44°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Summerville has changed since 1995

Summerville sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Charleston. That square ran 1.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Charleston page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Summerville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F97±1.0 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°72° to 73°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°73° to 75°±2%0% to 2% chance
Monmodels agree72° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°74° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°73° to 75°±2%4% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Summerville

today, local time
Sunrise
07:32
Sunset
18:37
Daylight
11h 5m

Common questions

What's the weather in Summerville today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Summerville today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 74°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Summerville today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Summerville on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Summerville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Summerville (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Summerville?
July is typically the warmest month in Summerville, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Summerville get?
The coldest month in Summerville is January, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Summerville get?
Summerville sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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