Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USCharleston
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Charleston weather

Loading live data…

Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 90° in Charleston today. Tomorrow looks showers around 89°, with a 96% chance of rain.

90°77°
89°76°
82°75°
84°75°
84°77°
86°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Partly cloudy
Today 89°·Low 79°·Rain 23%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Cloudy
Today 90°·Low 77°·Rain 23%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Light drizzle
Today 90°·Low 77°·Rain 59%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Charleston and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
90° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
89° 76°
models agree
Mon
Showers
82° 75°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
84° 75°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
84° 77°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
86° 76°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
88° 76°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
87° 76°
±7°
Sun
Showers
86° 78°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
87° 77°
±8°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
84° 76°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
83° 73°
±9°
Thu
Thunderstorm
84° 72°
±7°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
84° 71°
±8°

Charleston, SC is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Charleston right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Charleston climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
60°
46°
Feb
64°
49°
Mar
68°
54°
Apr
73°
59°
May
79°
66°
Jun
84°
72°
Jul
88°
77°
Aug
87°
76°
Sep
82°
70°
Oct
76°
61°
Nov
68°
55°
Dec
60°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Charleston?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F93±2.2 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F96±1.4 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°89° to 90°±36%23% to 59% chance
Tomorrow±2°88° to 90°±63%33% to 96% chance
Mon±5°80° to 85°±22%74% to 96% chance
Tue±2°83° to 86°±9%52% to 61% chance
Wed±2°84° to 85°±32%33% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Charleston

today, local time
Sunrise
06:57
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Charleston today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Charleston today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Charleston today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Charleston and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Charleston?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Charleston (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Charleston?
July is typically the warmest month in Charleston, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Charleston get?
The coldest month in Charleston is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Charleston get?
Charleston sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather