Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USSugar Land
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Sugar Land weather

Loading live data…

Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 92° in Sugar Land today. Tomorrow looks showers around 91°, with a 96% chance of rain.

92°77°
91°77°
93°77°
96°78°
94°78°
96°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Showers
Today 90°·Low 78°·Rain 40%
AmericanNOAA GFS
94°
Cloudy
Today 94°·Low 76°·Rain 40%
EuropeanECMWF
92°
Light drizzle
Today 92°·Low 76°·Rain 67%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Sugar Land and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
92° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
91° 77°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
93° 77°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
96° 78°
±8°
Wed
Partly cloudy
94° 78°
±9°
Thu
Mostly clear
96° 77°
±11°
Fri
Mostly clear
97° 78°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
96° 79°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
95° 80°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
95° 78°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
93° 77°
±8°
Wed
Drizzle
89° 75°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
93° 74°
models agree
Fri
Clear
94° 72°
±5°

Sugar Land, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 47°F), with roughly 64 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Sugar Land right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Sugar Land climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
47°
Feb
70°
52°
Mar
75°
59°
Apr
79°
62°
May
85°
70°
Jun
93°
76°
Jul
93°
77°
Aug
96°
78°
Sep
92°
74°
Oct
84°
66°
Nov
73°
57°
Dec
67°
51°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sugar Land?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F95±1.5 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F93±2.2 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°90° to 94°±27%40% to 67% chance
Tomorrow±3°90° to 93°±72%24% to 96% chance
Mon±1°93° to 94°±45%14% to 59% chance
Tue±8°93° to 101°±57%18% to 75% chance
Wed±9°90° to 100°±54%21% to 75% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sugar Land

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
19:40
Daylight
12h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sugar Land today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Sugar Land today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sugar Land today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Sugar Land and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sugar Land?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sugar Land (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sugar Land?
August is typically the warmest month in Sugar Land, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Sugar Land get?
The coldest month in Sugar Land is January, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Sugar Land get?
Sugar Land sees roughly 64 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather