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CheckWeather USMissouri City
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Missouri City weather

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Heavy showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Missouri City's high today between 90° and 95°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks showers around 91°, with a 91% chance of rain.

92°76°
91°77°
93°77°
95°77°
94°78°
96°77°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
86°
Mainly clear
Feels 95° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Overcast
Feels 95° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 68%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Light drizzle
Feels 94° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 77%

Latest for Missouri City: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 86° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 86° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 84° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Missouri City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy showers
92° 76°
±5°
Tomorrow
Showers
91° 77°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
93° 77°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
95° 77°
±7°
Wed
Partly cloudy
94° 78°
±9°
Thu
Mostly clear
96° 77°
±11°
Fri
Mostly clear
96° 77°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
95° 78°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
95° 79°
±8°
Mon
Thunderstorm
95° 78°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
93° 77°
±8°
Wed
Drizzle
88° 74°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
92° 73°
models agree
Fri
Clear
93° 72°
±5°

Missouri City, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 47°F), with roughly 65 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Missouri City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Missouri City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
64°
47°
Feb
70°
52°
Mar
75°
59°
Apr
79°
62°
May
85°
70°
Jun
93°
75°
Jul
93°
77°
Aug
96°
78°
Sep
91°
74°
Oct
84°
66°
Nov
73°
57°
Dec
67°
51°

Which forecast is most accurate in Missouri City?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F98±0.7 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F92±2.6 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°90° to 95°±28%43% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±4°89° to 93°±62%29% to 91% chance
Mon±2°92° to 94°±34%15% to 49% chance
Tue±7°93° to 99°±53%19% to 72% chance
Wed±9°90° to 99°±54%21% to 75% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Missouri City

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
12h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Missouri City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Missouri City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Missouri City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Missouri City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Missouri City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Missouri City (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Missouri City?
August is typically the warmest month in Missouri City, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Missouri City get?
The coldest month in Missouri City is January, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Missouri City get?
Missouri City sees roughly 65 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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