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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Springfield weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Springfield today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 71°, with a 100% chance of rain.

77°60°
71°59°
77°53°
81°57°
77°60°
77°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Drizzle
Today 77°·Low 61°·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 58°·Rain 22%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Light drizzle
Today 77°·Low 62°·Rain 78%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Springfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
77° 60°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
71° 59°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 53°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
81° 57°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
77° 60°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
77° 66°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
76° 60°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
77° 55°
±10°
Sun
Light drizzle
81° 59°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
83° 66°
±14°
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 61°
±10°
Wed
Drizzle
72° 56°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
75° 53°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
71° 55°
±5°

Springfield, MA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Springfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Springfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
27°
Feb
43°
25°
Mar
50°
31°
Apr
61°
40°
May
71°
49°
Jun
80°
59°
Jul
85°
66°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
75°
57°
Oct
65°
47°
Nov
51°
35°
Dec
42°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Springfield?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.7 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F95±1.6 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°77° to 78°±56%22% to 78% chance
Tomorrow±1°70° to 71°±68%32% to 100% chance
Mon±2°77° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°80° to 83°±9%1% to 10% chance
Wed±2°76° to 78°±9%22% to 31% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Springfield

today, local time
Sunrise
06:20
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Springfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Springfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Springfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Springfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Springfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Springfield (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Springfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Springfield, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Springfield get?
The coldest month in Springfield is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Springfield get?
Springfield sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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