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Agawam weather

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Agawam weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Agawam weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Agawam swings 63°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 21°F lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 49 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 94 days a year at 77°F or above, 34 of them at 86°F or above, 112 frost nights, and rain on 129 days.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
21°F average low
Wettest month
October
49 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
May and September
Residents
29,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
94 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
112 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
129 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Agawam’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Agawam and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Agawam hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Agawam 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Agawam, Massachusetts (MA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Agawam right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Agawam climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
34°
21°
Feb
39°
21°
Mar
47°
28°
Apr
58°
37°
May
70°
48°
Jun
80°
59°
Jul
84°
65°
Aug
82°
64°
Sep
74°
56°
Oct
62°
44°
Nov
50°
34°
Dec
39°
25°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Agawam has changed since 1995

Agawam sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Springfield. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Springfield page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Agawam?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Agawam today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Agawam today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Agawam today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Agawam and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Agawam?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Agawam (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Agawam?
July is typically the warmest month in Agawam, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Agawam get?
The coldest month in Agawam is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Agawam get?
Agawam sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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