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CheckWeather USSpringfield
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Springfield weather

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Mostly clear,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Springfield's high today between 95° and 99°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 86°, with a 2% chance of rain.

97°74°
86°70°
85°63°
94°63°
93°74°
86°67°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±14°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Mostly clear
Today 99°·Low 75°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Cloudy
Today 96°·Low 73°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
95°
Thunderstorm
Today 95°·Low 75°·Rain 63%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Springfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
97° 74°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
86° 70°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
85° 63°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
94° 63°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
93° 74°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
86° 67°
±14°
Fri
Mostly clear
88° 63°
±19°
Sat
Mostly clear
89° 66°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
88° 67°
±15°
Mon
Light drizzle
78° 62°
±11°
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 56°
±10°
Wed
Clear
75° 52°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
78° 53°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
75° 57°
±10°

Springfield, IL is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Springfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Springfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
25°
Feb
50°
29°
Mar
55°
35°
Apr
65°
45°
May
77°
56°
Jun
84°
65°
Jul
84°
67°
Aug
83°
66°
Sep
79°
60°
Oct
68°
49°
Nov
54°
38°
Dec
45°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Springfield?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
74±2.6°F94±1.9 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°95° to 99°±60%3% to 63% chance
Tomorrow±2°85° to 88°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±3°84° to 87°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±6°91° to 96°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°92° to 94°±9%32% to 41% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Springfield

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Springfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Springfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Springfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Springfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Springfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Springfield (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Springfield?
June is typically the warmest month in Springfield, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Springfield get?
The coldest month in Springfield is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Springfield get?
Springfield sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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