Latest for South Padre Island: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 79° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 79° Clear · European (ECMWF): 76° Light drizzle.
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South Padre Island weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsSouth Padre Island swings 33°F across the year, from 91°F highs in August to 58°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 28 in of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around South Padre Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →South Padre Island hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
South Padre Island 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitSouth Padre Island, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 58°F), with roughly 28 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for South Padre Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
South Padre Island climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How South Padre Island's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as changeAround South Padre Island, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.6°F, within the normal swing from year to year.
Days above 86°F
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
2015-2024 against 1995-2004
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
| Year | Temp vs average | Days >86°F vs avg | Wind vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | +0.2°F | +8 | −0% |
| 1996 | −1.1°F | −9 | +6% |
| 1997 | −0.9°F | −8 | −2% |
| 1998 | +0.2°F | +2 | +3% |
| 1999 | +0.4°F | −9 | +3% |
| 2000 | +0.4°F | −8 | +6% |
| 2001 | −0.3°F | −8 | +1% |
| 2002 | −0.2°F | −5 | +6% |
| 2003 | −0.5°F | −6 | −4% |
| 2004 | +0.2°F | +0 | +1% |
| 2005 | +0.6°F | +26 | −2% |
| 2006 | +0.6°F | −8 | +1% |
| 2007 | −0.2°F | −7 | −4% |
| 2008 | −0.5°F | −8 | +4% |
| 2009 | −0.2°F | −6 | +3% |
| 2010 | −0.9°F | +12 | +3% |
| 2011 | −0.3°F | −3 | +4% |
| 2012 | +0.7°F | −4 | −0% |
| 2013 | −0.9°F | −8 | +3% |
| 2014 | −1.4°F | −7 | +3% |
| 2015 | +0.2°F | −7 | −4% |
| 2016 | +1.1°F | +13 | −4% |
| 2017 | +1.1°F | −5 | −0% |
| 2018 | −0.5°F | −8 | −2% |
| 2019 | −0.3°F | −2 | −0% |
| 2020 | +0.6°F | +5 | −2% |
| 2021 | +0.4°F | +11 | −5% |
| 2022 | −0.5°F | −9 | −2% |
| 2023 | +0.7°F | +22 | −8% |
| 2024 | +1.6°F | +33 | −7% |
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around South Padre Island, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
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