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CheckWeather USBrownsville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Brownsville weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Brownsville today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 96°, with a 75% chance of rain.

97°81°
96°81°
96°81°
97°81°
96°80°
96°80°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
96°
Partly cloudy
Today 96°·Low 82°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Cloudy
Today 98°·Low 80°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
98°
Drizzle
Today 98°·Low 81°·Rain 77%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Brownsville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
97° 81°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
96° 81°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
96° 81°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
97° 81°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
96° 80°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
96° 80°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
96° 81°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
96° 82°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
94° 82°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
94° 81°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
95° 79°
±4°
Wed
Thunderstorm
90° 78°
±6°
Thu
Thunderstorm
89° 78°
±8°
Fri
Drizzle
92° 78°
±5°

Brownsville, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 58°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Brownsville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Brownsville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
73°
58°
Feb
75°
59°
Mar
81°
66°
Apr
84°
69°
May
90°
76°
Jun
93°
79°
Jul
93°
79°
Aug
94°
79°
Sep
92°
78°
Oct
86°
71°
Nov
79°
65°
Dec
75°
61°

Which forecast is most accurate in Brownsville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F99±0.4 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F91±2.9 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°96° to 98°±74%3% to 77% chance
Tomorrow±2°95° to 97°±66%9% to 75% chance
Mon±2°96° to 97°±49%18% to 67% chance
Tue±2°96° to 98°±45%22% to 67% chance
Wed±5°94° to 99°±65%19% to 84% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Brownsville

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
12h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Brownsville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Brownsville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Brownsville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Brownsville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Brownsville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Brownsville (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Brownsville?
August is typically the warmest month in Brownsville, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Brownsville get?
The coldest month in Brownsville is January, when overnight lows average about 58°F.
How much rain does Brownsville get?
Brownsville sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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