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CheckWeather US›Maryland›South Bel Air
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

South Bel Air weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 60° in South Bel Air today. Tomorrow: clear, around 63°, with a 0% chance of rain.

60°39°
63°40°
67°43°
63°47°
60°42°
64°45°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
61°
Mostly clear
Today 61°·Low 38°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
59°
Clear
Today 59°·Low 39°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
59°
Mostly clear
Today 59°·Low 40°·Rain 0%
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South Bel Air weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering South Bel Air…

South Bel Air weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

South Bel Air swings 59°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 26°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 112 days a year at 77°F or above, 36 of them at 86°F or above, 75 frost nights, and rain on 135 days.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
January
26°F average low
Wettest month
July
50 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
49,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
112 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
75 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
135 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for South Bel Air’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around South Bel Air and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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South Bel Air hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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South Bel Air 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
60° 39°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
63° 40°
models agree
Mon
Clear
67° 43°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
63° 47°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
60° 42°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
64° 45°
±5°
Fri
Clear
69° 48°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
66° 48°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
63° 48°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
61° 53°
±15°
Tue
Cloudy
61° 45°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
53° 40°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 38°
models agree

South Bel Air, Maryland (MD) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 26°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for South Bel Air right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

South Bel Air climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
39°
26°
Feb
43°
26°
Mar
51°
32°
Apr
63°
42°
May
72°
52°
Jun
82°
61°
Jul
85°
66°
Aug
83°
65°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
65°
47°
Nov
54°
37°
Dec
44°
30°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around South Bel Air has changed since 1995

South Bel Air sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Dundalk. That square ran 2.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Dundalk page.

Which forecast is most accurate in South Bel Air?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
92±0.8°F96±1.3 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°59° to 61°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°61° to 64°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°67° to 68°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°61° to 65°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°59° to 62°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in South Bel Air

today, local time
Sunrise
07:24
Sunset
18:13
Daylight
10h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in South Bel Air today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 60° in South Bel Air today. Tomorrow: clear, around 63°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in South Bel Air today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in South Bel Air on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for South Bel Air?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for South Bel Air (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in South Bel Air?
July is typically the warmest month in South Bel Air, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does South Bel Air get?
The coldest month in South Bel Air is January, when overnight lows average about 26°F.
How much rain does South Bel Air get?
South Bel Air sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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