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CheckWeather USSouth Bel Air
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

South Bel Air weather

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Drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in South Bel Air today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 80°, with a 3% chance of rain.

80°68°
80°62°
79°61°
82°60°
85°65°
89°70°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Drizzle
Today 81°·Low 67°·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 68°·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Light drizzle
Today 81°·Low 70°·Rain 55%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around South Bel Air and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
80° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
80° 62°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
79° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
82° 60°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
85° 65°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
89° 70°
±9°
Fri
Partly cloudy
81° 66°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
83° 63°
±10°
Sun
Mostly clear
85° 67°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
86° 68°
±15°
Tue
Drizzle
80° 65°
±20°
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 61°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 60°
models agree
Fri
Rain
71° 58°
±12°

South Bel Air, MD is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for South Bel Air right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

South Bel Air climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
45°
32°
Feb
49°
32°
Mar
55°
36°
Apr
67°
46°
May
73°
53°
Jun
83°
62°
Jul
88°
69°
Aug
84°
66°
Sep
77°
60°
Oct
68°
50°
Nov
56°
39°
Dec
46°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in South Bel Air?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F95±1.6 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree80° to 81°±45%10% to 55% chance
Tomorrow±2°79° to 81°±1%2% to 3% chance
Mon±2°78° to 80°±1%2% to 3% chance
Tue±2°81° to 83°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°84° to 86°±11%1% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in South Bel Air

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
19:30
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in South Bel Air today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for South Bel Air today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in South Bel Air today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for South Bel Air and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for South Bel Air?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for South Bel Air (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in South Bel Air?
July is typically the warmest month in South Bel Air, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does South Bel Air get?
The coldest month in South Bel Air is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does South Bel Air get?
South Bel Air sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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