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Every US forecast, compared
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CheckWeather USDundalk
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Dundalk weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Dundalk today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 82°, with a 3% chance of rain.

82°72°
82°66°
80°65°
83°66°
88°69°
91°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 74°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 70°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Thunderstorm
Today 81°·Low 73°·Rain 59%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dundalk and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
82° 72°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
82° 66°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
80° 65°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
83° 66°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
88° 69°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
91° 75°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
83° 70°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
83° 69°
±9°
Sun
Mostly clear
85° 72°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
85° 73°
±13°
Tue
Drizzle
81° 69°
±19°
Wed
Drizzle
76° 63°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
76° 62°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
72° 61°
±11°

Dundalk, MD is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dundalk right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dundalk climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
46°
33°
Feb
49°
34°
Mar
55°
39°
Apr
65°
49°
May
71°
57°
Jun
82°
66°
Jul
86°
72°
Aug
84°
69°
Sep
78°
64°
Oct
68°
52°
Nov
57°
42°
Dec
47°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dundalk?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F93±2.1 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°81° to 83°±48%11% to 59% chance
Tomorrow±2°81° to 82°±3%0% to 3% chance
Mon±4°79° to 82°models agree4% to 4% chance
Tue±2°82° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°87° to 90°±17%1% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dundalk

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
19:30
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dundalk today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dundalk today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dundalk today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dundalk and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dundalk?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dundalk (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dundalk?
July is typically the warmest month in Dundalk, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Dundalk get?
The coldest month in Dundalk is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Dundalk get?
Dundalk sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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