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Essex weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
49°
Clear
Feels 46° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
45°
Clear
Feels 41° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 87%
EuropeanECMWF
49°
Clear
Feels 45° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 77%

Latest for Essex: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 49° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 45° Clear · European (ECMWF): 49° Clear.

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Essex weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Essex…

Essex weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Essex swings 58°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 26°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 111 days a year at 77°F or above, 32 of them at 86°F or above, 64 frost nights, and rain on 136 days.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
26°F average low
Wettest month
May
48 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
39,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
111 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
64 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
136 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Essex’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Essex and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Essex hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Essex 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Essex, Maryland (MD) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 26°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Essex right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Essex climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
40°
26°
Feb
43°
27°
Mar
51°
34°
Apr
61°
44°
May
71°
54°
Jun
81°
63°
Jul
84°
68°
Aug
83°
67°
Sep
76°
61°
Oct
65°
48°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
45°
32°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Essex has changed since 1995

Essex sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Dundalk. That square ran 2.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Dundalk page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Essex?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F94±1.9 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Essex today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Essex today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Essex today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Essex and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Essex?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Essex (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Essex?
July is typically the warmest month in Essex, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Essex get?
The coldest month in Essex is January, when overnight lows average about 26°F.
How much rain does Essex get?
Essex sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

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