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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Shoreline weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Shoreline's high today between 52° and 58°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 54°, with a 53% chance of rain.

54°39°
54°43°
55°43°
54°44°
51°44°
50°40°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
53°
Cloudy
Today 53°·Low 38°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
58°
Cloudy
Today 58°·Low 41°·Rain 8%
EuropeanECMWF
52°
Cloudy
Today 52°·Low 38°·Rain 16%
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Shoreline weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Shoreline…

Shoreline weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Shoreline swings 40°F across the year, from 75°F highs in July to 35°F lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 27 days a year at 77°F or above, 2 of them at 86°F or above, 33 frost nights, and rain on 156 days.

Warmest month
July
75°F average high
Coldest month
January
35°F average low
Wettest month
November
42 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
55,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
27 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
33 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
156 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Shoreline’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Shoreline and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Shoreline hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Shoreline 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
54° 39°
±6°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
54° 43°
±5°
Mon
Partly cloudy
55° 43°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
54° 44°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
51° 44°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
50° 40°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
50° 39°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
50° 37°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
51° 37°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
52° 41°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
54° 40°
±5°
Wed
Light rain
52° 41°
±5°
Thu
Showers
55° 47°
±5°

Shoreline, Washington (WA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 75°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Shoreline right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Shoreline climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
45°
35°
Feb
46°
35°
Mar
50°
36°
Apr
56°
42°
May
62°
46°
Jun
68°
51°
Jul
75°
54°
Aug
74°
56°
Sep
69°
54°
Oct
60°
47°
Nov
50°
40°
Dec
45°
35°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Shoreline has changed since 1995

Shoreline sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Everett. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Everett page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Shoreline?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°52° to 58°±8%8% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±5°52° to 57°±14%39% to 53% chance
Mon±2°54° to 55°±12%19% to 31% chance
Tue±4°52° to 57°±7%22% to 29% chance
Wed±4°48° to 52°±13%33% to 46% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Shoreline

today, local time
Sunrise
07:41
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
10h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Shoreline today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Shoreline's high today between 52° and 58°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 54°, with a 53% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Shoreline today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Shoreline on Sunday, October 25: NWS 53%, American 53%, European 39%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 16%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shoreline?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Shoreline (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shoreline?
July is typically the warmest month in Shoreline, with average highs around 75°F.
How cold does Shoreline get?
The coldest month in Shoreline is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Shoreline get?
Shoreline sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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