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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Everett weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Everett's high today between 53° and 59°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 56°, with a 43% chance of rain.

55°40°
56°43°
54°43°
54°44°
51°43°
50°41°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
53°
Cloudy
Today 53°·Low 38°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
59°
Cloudy
Today 59°·Low 40°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
54°
Cloudy
Today 54°·Low 42°·Rain 18%
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Everett weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Everett…

Everett weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Everett swings 41°F across the year, from 75°F highs in July to 34°F lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 28 days a year at 77°F or above, 2 of them at 86°F or above, 46 frost nights, and rain on 173 days.

Warmest month
July
75°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
November
43 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
108,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
28 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
46 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
173 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Everett’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Everett and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Everett hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Everett 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
55° 40°
±6°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
56° 43°
±6°
Mon
Partly cloudy
54° 43°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
54° 44°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
51° 43°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
50° 41°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
51° 39°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
51° 36°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
54° 37°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
55° 40°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
57° 41°
±8°
Wed
Light rain
57° 43°
±6°
Thu
Showers
56° 48°
±5°

Everett, Washington (WA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 75°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Everett right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Everett climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
45°
34°
Feb
46°
34°
Mar
51°
35°
Apr
56°
41°
May
62°
46°
Jun
67°
50°
Jul
75°
53°
Aug
75°
55°
Sep
69°
53°
Oct
60°
46°
Nov
50°
39°
Dec
44°
34°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Everett's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°F

Around Everett, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.6°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average1996: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average1997: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average1998: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average1999: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2000: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2001: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2002: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2004: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2005: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2006: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2010: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2011: −2.2°F vs the 30-year average2012: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2014: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2015: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2017: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2019: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2021: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2023: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2024: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 77°F

9 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −11 vs the 30-year average1996: −4 vs the 30-year average1997: −4 vs the 30-year average1998: −1 vs the 30-year average1999: −10 vs the 30-year average2000: −11 vs the 30-year average2001: −7 vs the 30-year average2002: −1 vs the 30-year average2003: +8 vs the 30-year average2004: +12 vs the 30-year average2005: −4 vs the 30-year average2006: +3 vs the 30-year average2007: −7 vs the 30-year average2008: −4 vs the 30-year average2009: +8 vs the 30-year average2010: −6 vs the 30-year average2011: −17 vs the 30-year average2012: −11 vs the 30-year average2013: −4 vs the 30-year average2014: +8 vs the 30-year average2015: +10 vs the 30-year average2016: −1 vs the 30-year average2017: +6 vs the 30-year average2018: +6 vs the 30-year average2019: −2 vs the 30-year average2020: −3 vs the 30-year average2021: +15 vs the 30-year average2022: +14 vs the 30-year average2023: +8 vs the 30-year average2024: +5 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

1 more night a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +2 vs the 30-year average1996: +17 vs the 30-year average1997: −4 vs the 30-year average1998: −14 vs the 30-year average1999: −17 vs the 30-year average2000: +0 vs the 30-year average2001: −2 vs the 30-year average2002: +5 vs the 30-year average2003: −11 vs the 30-year average2004: −20 vs the 30-year average2005: +6 vs the 30-year average2006: +2 vs the 30-year average2007: +8 vs the 30-year average2008: +8 vs the 30-year average2009: +27 vs the 30-year average2010: −11 vs the 30-year average2011: +13 vs the 30-year average2012: −6 vs the 30-year average2013: +10 vs the 30-year average2014: +1 vs the 30-year average2015: −12 vs the 30-year average2016: −5 vs the 30-year average2017: +9 vs the 30-year average2018: −7 vs the 30-year average2019: +11 vs the 30-year average2020: −8 vs the 30-year average2021: −4 vs the 30-year average2022: +8 vs the 30-year average2023: −9 vs the 30-year average2024: −9 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +2% vs the 30-year average1996: +2% vs the 30-year average1997: +7% vs the 30-year average1998: +7% vs the 30-year average1999: +7% vs the 30-year average2000: −4% vs the 30-year average2001: +2% vs the 30-year average2002: −4% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: −10% vs the 30-year average2005: −4% vs the 30-year average2006: +7% vs the 30-year average2007: +2% vs the 30-year average2008: −4% vs the 30-year average2009: −4% vs the 30-year average2010: +7% vs the 30-year average2011: −4% vs the 30-year average2012: +2% vs the 30-year average2013: −10% vs the 30-year average2014: +2% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: +7% vs the 30-year average2017: +2% vs the 30-year average2018: +2% vs the 30-year average2019: −10% vs the 30-year average2020: +2% vs the 30-year average2021: +7% vs the 30-year average2022: −4% vs the 30-year average2023: +2% vs the 30-year average2024: −4% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >77°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995+0.5°F−11+2+2%
1996−1.4°F−4+17+2%
1997+0.5°F−4−4+7%
1998+0.9°F−1−14+7%
1999−0.9°F−10−17+7%
2000−0.9°F−11+0−4%
2001−0.7°F−7−2+2%
2002−0.4°F−1+5−4%
2003+0.7°F+8−11+2%
2004+1.4°F+12−20−10%
2005+0.7°F−4+6−4%
2006±0.0°F+3+2+7%
2007−0.9°F−7+8+2%
2008−1.6°F−4+8−4%
2009−0.7°F+8+27−4%
2010−0.4°F−6−11+7%
2011−2.2°F−17+13−4%
2012−0.9°F−11−6+2%
2013−0.4°F−4+10−10%
2014+1.1°F+8+1+2%
2015+2.2°F+10−12−4%
2016+1.3°F−1−5+7%
2017−0.5°F+6+9+2%
2018+0.7°F+6−7+2%
2019+0.2°F−2+11−10%
2020+0.5°F−3−8+2%
2021+0.5°F+15−4+7%
2022+0.2°F+14+8−4%
2023+0.9°F+8−9+2%
2024−0.5°F+5−9−4%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Everett, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Everett?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F96±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F94±1.9 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°53° to 59°±9%9% to 18% chance
Tomorrow±6°54° to 60°±12%31% to 43% chance
Mon±2°53° to 56°±13%12% to 25% chance
Tue±1°53° to 55°±10%31% to 41% chance
Wed±2°50° to 52°±16%37% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Everett

today, local time
Sunrise
07:41
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
10h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Everett today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Everett's high today between 53° and 59°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 56°, with a 43% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Everett today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Everett on Sunday, October 25: NWS 43%, American 43%, European 31%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 18%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Everett?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Everett (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Everett?
July is typically the warmest month in Everett, with average highs around 75°F.
How cold does Everett get?
The coldest month in Everett is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Everett get?
Everett sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
Is Everett getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Everett, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.6°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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