active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories
Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Santa Fe…
Santa Fe weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather
Santa Fe swings 61°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 20°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 17 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 91 days a year at 77°F or above, 23 of them at 86°F or above, 117 frost nights, and rain on 69 days.
Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
20°F average low
Wettest month
August
17 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
88,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
91 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
117 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
69 days
a year with 0.04 in or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Santa Fe’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Santa Fe and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…
Santa Fe hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
Loading the three models…
Santa Fe 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
58°48°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
57°45°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
59°40°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
59°42°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
61°41°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
61°45°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
56°43°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
56°43°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
55°42°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
51°40°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
56°38°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
55°39°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
53°38°
±9°
Santa Fe, New Mexico (NM) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 20°F), with roughly 17 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Santa Fe right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
34°
20°
Feb
40°
23°
Mar
49°
31°
Apr
59°
36°
May
68°
46°
Jun
79°
56°
Jul
81°
58°
Aug
79°
58°
Sep
71°
50°
Oct
60°
40°
Nov
47°
31°
Dec
37°
23°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Santa Fe's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.4°F
Around Santa Fe, 2015-2024 averaged 1.4°F warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 95°F
8 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
15 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F
Average wind
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >95°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.9°F
−5
+15
−1%
1996
−0.7°F
−8
+13
+4%
1997
−2.2°F
−9
+19
−1%
1998
−1.1°F
−4
+13
−1%
1999
−0.5°F
−8
+2
+2%
2000
+0.5°F
+0
+9
+2%
2001
+0.4°F
−5
−8
−4%
2002
+0.2°F
+2
+1
−1%
2003
+0.9°F
+12
+1
+2%
2004
−1.1°F
−7
−1
−4%
2005
±0.0°F
+0
−5
−1%
2006
−0.7°F
−6
−0
−1%
2007
−0.4°F
−1
−12
−4%
2008
−1.8°F
−8
+21
+4%
2009
−1.1°F
−4
+6
−1%
2010
−0.5°F
+3
+15
−1%
2011
−0.4°F
−2
+5
+4%
2012
+1.3°F
+2
−8
+2%
2013
−1.4°F
−1
+9
−1%
2014
−0.2°F
−5
+1
+4%
2015
±0.0°F
−5
−19
−7%
2016
+0.4°F
+5
−20
+2%
2017
+1.6°F
−1
−26
+2%
2018
+1.4°F
+1
−6
−1%
2019
±0.0°F
+1
+2
+2%
2020
+1.4°F
+8
−9
+2%
2021
+1.3°F
+5
−9
−1%
2022
+0.4°F
−1
+6
−1%
2023
+1.1°F
+19
−9
+2%
2024
+2.2°F
+13
−3
+2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Santa Fe, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Santa Fe?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F
94±2.0 mph
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
80
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F
94±1.9 mph
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±3°57° to 60°
±33%67% to 100% chance
Tomorrow
±2°56° to 58°
±38%46% to 84% chance
Mon
±2°58° to 60°
±41%28% to 69% chance
Tue
±3°59° to 61°
±3%4% to 7% chance
Wed
±3°60° to 63°
±1%1% to 2% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Santa Fe
today, local time
Sunrise
07:18
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
10h 58m
Common questions
What's the weather in Santa Fe today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 58° in Santa Fe today. Tomorrow: rain, around 57°, with a 84% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Santa Fe today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Santa Fe on Sunday, October 25: NWS 46%, American 46%, European 84%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Santa Fe?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Santa Fe (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Santa Fe?
July is typically the warmest month in Santa Fe, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Santa Fe get?
The coldest month in Santa Fe is January, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does Santa Fe get?
Santa Fe sees roughly 17 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
Is Santa Fe getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Santa Fe, 2015-2024 averaged 1.4°F warmer than 1995-2004.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.
