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CheckWeather USSanta Fe
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Santa Fe weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Santa Fe's high today between 82° and 87°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 86°, with a 47% chance of rain.

84°60°
86°61°
82°62°
83°62°
83°63°
83°61°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Partly cloudy
Today 83°·Low 62°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
87°
Cloudy
Today 87°·Low 60°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Light drizzle
Today 82°·Low 59°·Rain 53%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Santa Fe and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
84° 60°
±4°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
86° 61°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
82° 62°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
83° 62°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
83° 63°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
83° 61°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
84° 61°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
81° 62°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
78° 58°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
76° 55°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 56°
models agree
Wed
Clear
77° 56°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
77° 58°
±9°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
73° 59°
±10°

Santa Fe, NM is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 20°F), with roughly 13 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Santa Fe right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Santa Fe climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
20°
Feb
40°
23°
Mar
47°
29°
Apr
60°
37°
May
69°
47°
Jun
80°
57°
Jul
86°
63°
Aug
83°
62°
Sep
75°
54°
Oct
66°
46°
Nov
48°
32°
Dec
41°
27°

Which forecast is most accurate in Santa Fe?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
78
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F94±2.0 mph5374% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
73±2.7°F87±4.2 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°82° to 87°±49%4% to 53% chance
Tomorrow±2°85° to 87°±38%9% to 47% chance
Mon±3°80° to 83°±22%39% to 61% chance
Tue±1°83° to 84°±6%33% to 39% chance
Wed±3°82° to 85°±16%29% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Santa Fe

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
19:25
Daylight
12h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in Santa Fe today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Santa Fe today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Santa Fe today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Santa Fe and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Santa Fe?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Santa Fe (CheckWeather Score 78/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Santa Fe?
July is typically the warmest month in Santa Fe, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Santa Fe get?
The coldest month in Santa Fe is January, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does Santa Fe get?
Santa Fe sees roughly 13 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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