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Los Alamos weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather
Los Alamos swings 62°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 17°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 16 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 81 days a year at 77°F or above, 13 of them at 86°F or above, 141 frost nights, and rain on 90 days.
Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
January
17°F average low
Wettest month
August
16 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, June and September
Residents
12,000
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Warm days
81 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
141 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
90 days
a year with 0.04 in or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Los Alamos’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Los Alamos and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Los Alamos hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Los Alamos 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Los Alamos, New Mexico (NM) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 17°F), with roughly 16 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Los Alamos right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
34°
17°
Feb
39°
19°
Mar
48°
27°
Apr
59°
32°
May
67°
43°
Jun
77°
53°
Jul
79°
56°
Aug
76°
54°
Sep
69°
47°
Oct
58°
37°
Nov
46°
27°
Dec
35°
19°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Los Alamos' weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.2°F
Around Los Alamos, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 86°F
12 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
8 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
+1%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >86°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.1°F
−4
+18
+0%
1996
−0.5°F
−3
+10
+3%
1997
−2.0°F
−17
+9
−6%
1998
−0.9°F
−11
+9
+0%
1999
−0.5°F
−23
+1
+0%
2000
+0.7°F
+2
+4
+0%
2001
+0.4°F
−1
−10
−3%
2002
+0.4°F
+18
−9
+0%
2003
+0.7°F
+2
+2
+0%
2004
−0.7°F
−9
−6
−3%
2005
±0.0°F
+7
−1
−3%
2006
−0.3°F
−2
+13
+0%
2007
−0.2°F
−1
+1
−3%
2008
−1.6°F
−9
+14
+6%
2009
−1.1°F
−8
−0
+0%
2010
−0.7°F
−4
+2
+0%
2011
−0.7°F
+9
+9
+6%
2012
+1.1°F
+3
−12
+0%
2013
−1.4°F
−6
+10
+0%
2014
−0.2°F
−17
+3
+3%
2015
±0.0°F
−13
−10
−6%
2016
±0.0°F
−2
−8
+0%
2017
+1.5°F
−3
−14
+0%
2018
+1.5°F
+11
+4
+0%
2019
−0.3°F
+7
+6
+3%
2020
+1.5°F
+27
−13
+3%
2021
+1.1°F
+6
+2
+0%
2022
+0.4°F
+0
−6
−3%
2023
+0.7°F
+18
−6
+3%
2024
+2.0°F
+15
−7
+0%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Los Alamos, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F
97±1.1 mph
9396% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F
94±2.0 mph
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
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Common questions
What's the weather in Los Alamos today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Los Alamos today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Los Alamos today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Los Alamos and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Los Alamos?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Los Alamos forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Los Alamos?
July is typically the warmest month in Los Alamos, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Los Alamos get?
The coldest month in Los Alamos is January, when overnight lows average about 17°F.
How much rain does Los Alamos get?
Los Alamos sees roughly 16 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
Is Los Alamos getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Los Alamos, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004.