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CheckWeather USSan Mateo
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

San Mateo weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in San Mateo today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 71°, with a 1% chance of rain.

75°55°
71°55°
82°54°
85°60°
91°66°
90°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Mostly clear
Today 75°·Low 56°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Cloudy
Today 76°·Low 54°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Mostly clear
Today 74°·Low 55°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around San Mateo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
75° 55°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
71° 55°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
82° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
85° 60°
±5°
Wed
Partly cloudy
91° 66°
±8°
Thu
Mostly clear
90° 69°
±13°
Fri
Mostly clear
77° 62°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
73° 60°
±6°
Sun
Partly cloudy
74° 60°
±14°
Mon
Cloudy
75° 60°
±18°
Tue
Mostly clear
76° 58°
±16°
Wed
Cloudy
80° 58°
±16°
Thu
Cloudy
77° 58°
±7°
Fri
Clear
74° 57°
±6°

San Mateo, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 71°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 45°F), with roughly 29 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for San Mateo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

San Mateo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
47°
Feb
55°
45°
Mar
56°
47°
Apr
60°
49°
May
64°
52°
Jun
68°
54°
Jul
71°
58°
Aug
70°
59°
Sep
70°
59°
Oct
71°
59°
Nov
61°
53°
Dec
57°
50°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°74° to 76°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±1°71° to 72°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°80° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°83° to 88°models agree2% to 2% chance
Wed±8°87° to 95°±3%3% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in San Mateo

today, local time
Sunrise
06:43
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in San Mateo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for San Mateo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in San Mateo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for San Mateo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for San Mateo?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the San Mateo forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in San Mateo?
July is typically the warmest month in San Mateo, with average highs around 71°F.
How cold does San Mateo get?
The coldest month in San Mateo is February, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does San Mateo get?
San Mateo sees roughly 29 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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