Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io

San Carlos weather

Loading live data…

San Carlos weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering San Carlos…

San Carlos weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

San Carlos swings 35°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 44°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 26 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 67 days a year at 77°F or above, 15 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 57 days.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
January
44°F average low
Wettest month
January
26 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and August
Residents
30,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
67 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
57 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for San Carlos’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around San Carlos and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

San Carlos hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

San Carlos 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

San Carlos, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 44°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for San Carlos right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

San Carlos climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
55°
44°
Feb
57°
44°
Mar
58°
46°
Apr
64°
48°
May
68°
50°
Jun
73°
53°
Jul
79°
57°
Aug
77°
57°
Sep
75°
56°
Oct
73°
55°
Nov
61°
48°
Dec
55°
44°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around San Carlos has changed since 1995

San Carlos sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Daly City. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Daly City page.

Which forecast is most accurate in San Carlos?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
61±3.9°F91±2.7 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in San Carlos today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for San Carlos today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in San Carlos today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for San Carlos and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for San Carlos?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for San Carlos (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in San Carlos?
July is typically the warmest month in San Carlos, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does San Carlos get?
The coldest month in San Carlos is January, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does San Carlos get?
San Carlos sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather