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CheckWeather USSan Bernardino
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

San Bernardino weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put San Bernardino's high today between 91° and 96°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 81°, with a 97% chance of rain.

94°62°
81°70°
93°69°
96°75°
102°79°
101°81°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
91°
Mostly clear
Today 91°·Low 65°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Mostly clear
Today 96°·Low 59°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
95°
Light drizzle
Today 95°·Low 63°·Rain 45%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around San Bernardino and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
94° 62°
±5°
Tomorrow
Light rain
81° 70°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
93° 69°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
96° 75°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
102° 79°
±6°
Thu
Clear
101° 81°
±7°
Fri
Clear
96° 78°
models agree
Sat
Clear
90° 71°
±4°
Sun
Clear
92° 70°
±8°
Mon
Clear
94° 73°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
96° 75°
±12°
Wed
Light drizzle
97° 79°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
93° 75°
±8°
Fri
Clear
92° 74°
±12°

San Bernardino, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for San Bernardino right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

San Bernardino climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
60°
42°
Feb
61°
42°
Mar
61°
44°
Apr
73°
47°
May
78°
52°
Jun
85°
58°
Jul
98°
67°
Aug
96°
67°
Sep
89°
62°
Oct
86°
57°
Nov
72°
47°
Dec
69°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in San Bernardino?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F97±1.1 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°91° to 96°±44%1% to 45% chance
Tomorrow±4°79° to 83°±45%52% to 97% chance
Mon±6°91° to 97°±16%4% to 20% chance
Tue±6°93° to 100°±2%8% to 10% chance
Wed±6°98° to 104°±2%10% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in San Bernardino

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in San Bernardino today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for San Bernardino today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in San Bernardino today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for San Bernardino and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for San Bernardino?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for San Bernardino (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in San Bernardino?
July is typically the warmest month in San Bernardino, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does San Bernardino get?
The coldest month in San Bernardino is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does San Bernardino get?
San Bernardino sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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