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Salt Lake City weekend weather

This weekend in Salt Lake City, UT, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 104° across the weekend. Agreement is high — unusually solid for this far out.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
104°
Clear
High 104°·Low 75°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
105°
Cloudy
High 105°·Low 78°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
106°
Partly cloudy
High 106°·Low 74°·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within 2° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
102°
Mostly clear
High 102°·Low 80°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
104°
Cloudy
High 104°·Low 80°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
105°
Clear
High 105°·Low 77°·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within 3° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°96° to 99°±4%6% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±3°101° to 104°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sat±2°104° to 106°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±3°102° to 105°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°97° to 100°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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