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Salt Lake City weekend weather

This weekend in Salt Lake City, UT, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 72° across the weekend. Agreement is low - the weekend is genuinely up in the air at this range. Rain chance reaches 73% on at least one model.

Tomorrow

2026-09-19 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Light drizzle
High 70°·Low 53°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
70°
Cloudy
High 70°·Low 54°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Light drizzle
High 70°·Low 55°·Rain 73%

All 3 models land within under a degree of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-09-20 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Mostly clear
High 73°·Low 52°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Cloudy
High 77°·Low 45°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Cloudy
High 73°·Low 53°·Rain 2%

The models range from 73° to 77°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±14°73° to 86°±54%45% to 99% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree70° to 70°±64%9% to 73% chance
Sun±4°73° to 77°±1%2% to 3% chance
Mon±3°79° to 82°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±8°73° to 81°±12%21% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
At least one model puts the weekend rain chance as high as 73%. Weekend forecasts sit far enough ahead that models frequently disagree on showers - when they do, no single app can honestly tell you it will or will not rain.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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