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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Salt Lake City (SLC) weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Salt Lake City's high today between 54° and 59°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 58°, with a 10% chance of rain.

56°41°
58°43°
64°46°
57°43°
63°47°
65°49°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
55°
Partly cloudy
Today 55°·Low 42°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
59°
Cloudy
Today 59°·Low 38°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
54°
Mostly clear
Today 54°·Low 43°·Rain 12%
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Salt Lake City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Salt Lake City…

Salt Lake City weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Salt Lake City swings 75°F across the year, from 93°F highs in July to 18°F lows in December, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 19 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 119 days a year at 77°F or above, 79 of them at 86°F or above, 124 frost nights, and rain on 86 days.

Warmest month
July
93°F average high
Coldest month
December
18°F average low
Wettest month
May
19 in a year
Comfortable
1 month
October
Residents
216,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
119 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
124 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
86 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Salt Lake City’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Salt Lake City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Salt Lake City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Salt Lake City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
56° 41°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
58° 43°
±6°
Mon
Mostly clear
64° 46°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
57° 43°
±5°
Wed
Partly cloudy
63° 47°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
65° 49°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
62° 51°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
58° 48°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
55° 44°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
55° 42°
±11°
Tue
Cloudy
61° 43°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
56° 43°
±16°
Thu
Partly cloudy
57° 43°
±18°

Salt Lake City, Utah (UT) (often shortened to SLC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 18°F), with roughly 19 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Salt Lake City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Salt Lake City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
37°
23°
Feb
42°
25°
Mar
51°
32°
Apr
59°
35°
May
71°
45°
Jun
81°
55°
Jul
93°
64°
Aug
89°
63°
Sep
79°
53°
Oct
63°
40°
Nov
47°
29°
Dec
34°
18°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Salt Lake City's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.3°F

Around Salt Lake City, 2015-2024 averaged 1.3°F warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average1996: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average1998: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average1999: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2001: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2002: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2003: +1.9°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2006: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2008: −2.1°F vs the 30-year average2009: −2.5°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2011: −2.8°F vs the 30-year average2012: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2014: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2015: +2.0°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2018: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2019: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2021: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average2023: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2024: +2.4°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

15 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −26 vs the 30-year average1996: −7 vs the 30-year average1997: −18 vs the 30-year average1998: −7 vs the 30-year average1999: −17 vs the 30-year average2000: +5 vs the 30-year average2001: +10 vs the 30-year average2002: +5 vs the 30-year average2003: +11 vs the 30-year average2004: −12 vs the 30-year average2005: −15 vs the 30-year average2006: −4 vs the 30-year average2007: +16 vs the 30-year average2008: −4 vs the 30-year average2009: −17 vs the 30-year average2010: −10 vs the 30-year average2011: −21 vs the 30-year average2012: +7 vs the 30-year average2013: +12 vs the 30-year average2014: −8 vs the 30-year average2015: −12 vs the 30-year average2016: +3 vs the 30-year average2017: +11 vs the 30-year average2018: +9 vs the 30-year average2019: +1 vs the 30-year average2020: +19 vs the 30-year average2021: +22 vs the 30-year average2022: +22 vs the 30-year average2023: −4 vs the 30-year average2024: +19 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

8 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5 vs the 30-year average1996: +16 vs the 30-year average1997: +12 vs the 30-year average1998: +3 vs the 30-year average1999: +8 vs the 30-year average2000: +5 vs the 30-year average2001: −5 vs the 30-year average2002: +4 vs the 30-year average2003: +2 vs the 30-year average2004: −16 vs the 30-year average2005: −4 vs the 30-year average2006: +3 vs the 30-year average2007: −15 vs the 30-year average2008: +18 vs the 30-year average2009: +12 vs the 30-year average2010: +13 vs the 30-year average2011: +26 vs the 30-year average2012: −15 vs the 30-year average2013: +2 vs the 30-year average2014: −6 vs the 30-year average2015: −29 vs the 30-year average2016: −23 vs the 30-year average2017: −16 vs the 30-year average2018: −1 vs the 30-year average2019: −1 vs the 30-year average2020: −7 vs the 30-year average2021: −6 vs the 30-year average2022: +12 vs the 30-year average2023: +8 vs the 30-year average2024: +5 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +3% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: −1% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: +3% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: −1% vs the 30-year average2003: −1% vs the 30-year average2004: −5% vs the 30-year average2005: −1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: −1% vs the 30-year average2008: +3% vs the 30-year average2009: −5% vs the 30-year average2010: +3% vs the 30-year average2011: −1% vs the 30-year average2012: +3% vs the 30-year average2013: −5% vs the 30-year average2014: −1% vs the 30-year average2015: −5% vs the 30-year average2016: +3% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: −1% vs the 30-year average2020: +3% vs the 30-year average2021: −1% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: −5% vs the 30-year average2024: +3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.2°F−26−5+3%
1996−1.4°F−7+16+3%
1997−1.7°F−18+12−1%
1998−1.2°F−7+3−1%
1999+0.1°F−17+8+3%
2000+0.6°F+5+5+3%
2001+1.1°F+10−5−1%
2002−0.5°F+5+4−1%
2003+1.9°F+11+2−1%
2004−0.5°F−12−16−5%
2005−0.3°F−15−4−1%
2006−0.3°F−4+3−1%
2007+0.6°F+16−15−1%
2008−2.1°F−4+18+3%
2009−2.5°F−17+12−5%
2010−1.6°F−10+13+3%
2011−2.8°F−21+26−1%
2012+1.7°F+7−15+3%
2013−1.2°F+12+2−5%
2014+1.1°F−8−6−1%
2015+2.0°F−12−29−5%
2016+1.1°F+3−23+3%
2017+1.0°F+11−16−1%
2018+1.5°F+9−1−1%
2019−1.2°F+1−1−1%
2020+1.3°F+19−7+3%
2021+2.2°F+22−6−1%
2022+0.4°F+22+12−1%
2023−0.5°F−4+8−5%
2024+2.4°F+19+5+3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Salt Lake City, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Salt Lake City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F92±2.4 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°54° to 59°±10%2% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±6°55° to 61°±1%9% to 10% chance
Mon±4°62° to 66°±11%4% to 15% chance
Tue±5°55° to 60°±19%24% to 43% chance
Wed±4°62° to 66°±3%0% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Salt Lake City

today, local time
Sunrise
07:49
Sunset
18:33
Daylight
10h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Salt Lake City today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Salt Lake City's high today between 54° and 59°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 58°, with a 10% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Salt Lake City today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Salt Lake City on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 10% (NWS 10%, American 10%, European 9%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 12%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Salt Lake City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Salt Lake City (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Salt Lake City?
July is typically the warmest month in Salt Lake City, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Salt Lake City get?
The coldest month in Salt Lake City is December, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Salt Lake City get?
Salt Lake City sees roughly 19 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
Is Salt Lake City getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Salt Lake City, 2015-2024 averaged 1.3°F warmer than 1995-2004.

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