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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Millcreek weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Millcreek's high today between 54° and 59°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 58°, with a 10% chance of rain.

56°41°
58°42°
64°45°
57°43°
63°46°
65°49°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±7°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
55°
Partly cloudy
Today 55°·Low 41°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
59°
Fog
Today 59°·Low 37°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
54°
Mostly clear
Today 54°·Low 43°·Rain 12%
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Millcreek weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Millcreek…

Millcreek weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Millcreek swings 72°F across the year, from 93°F highs in July to 21°F lows in December, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 21 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 124 days a year at 77°F or above, 86 of them at 86°F or above, 102 frost nights, and rain on 81 days.

Warmest month
July
93°F average high
Coldest month
December
21°F average low
Wettest month
May
21 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
April and October
Residents
62,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
124 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
102 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
81 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Millcreek’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Millcreek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Millcreek hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Millcreek 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
56° 41°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
58° 42°
±7°
Mon
Mostly clear
64° 45°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
57° 43°
±5°
Wed
Partly cloudy
63° 46°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
65° 49°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
62° 51°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
58° 48°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
55° 43°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
56° 41°
±11°
Tue
Cloudy
61° 43°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
56° 43°
±16°
Thu
Partly cloudy
57° 43°
±18°

Millcreek, Utah (UT) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 21°F), with roughly 21 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Millcreek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Millcreek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
39°
27°
Feb
44°
27°
Mar
52°
35°
Apr
60°
38°
May
72°
48°
Jun
82°
58°
Jul
93°
66°
Aug
90°
66°
Sep
80°
56°
Oct
64°
43°
Nov
49°
31°
Dec
36°
21°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Millcreek has changed since 1995

Millcreek sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as West Valley City. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the West Valley City page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Millcreek?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
76±2.4°F95±1.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F89±3.3 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°54° to 59°±10%2% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±7°55° to 62°±1%9% to 10% chance
Mon±3°62° to 65°±10%4% to 14% chance
Tue±5°55° to 60°±19%24% to 43% chance
Wed±4°62° to 66°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Millcreek

today, local time
Sunrise
07:48
Sunset
18:33
Daylight
10h 45m

Common questions

What's the weather in Millcreek today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Millcreek's high today between 54° and 59°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 58°, with a 10% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Millcreek today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Millcreek on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 10% (NWS 10%, American 10%, European 9%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 12%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Millcreek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Millcreek (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Millcreek?
July is typically the warmest month in Millcreek, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Millcreek get?
The coldest month in Millcreek is December, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Millcreek get?
Millcreek sees roughly 21 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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