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Rock Island weather

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Rock Island weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Rock Island weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Rock Island swings 67°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 17°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 35 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 113 days a year at 77°F or above, 39 of them at 86°F or above, 111 frost nights, and rain on 110 days.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
17°F average low
Wettest month
June
35 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
39,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
113 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
111 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
110 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Rock Island’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rock Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rock Island hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rock Island 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Rock Island, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 17°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rock Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Rock Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
17°
Feb
38°
18°
Mar
48°
31°
Apr
61°
41°
May
73°
51°
Jun
82°
62°
Jul
84°
66°
Aug
82°
64°
Sep
76°
57°
Oct
62°
45°
Nov
47°
33°
Dec
35°
23°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Rock Island has changed since 1995

Rock Island sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Davenport. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Davenport page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Rock Island?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F99±0.4 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F95±1.7 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Rock Island today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Rock Island today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rock Island today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Rock Island and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rock Island?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rock Island (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rock Island?
July is typically the warmest month in Rock Island, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Rock Island get?
The coldest month in Rock Island is January, when overnight lows average about 17°F.
How much rain does Rock Island get?
Rock Island sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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